Match Info

Ligue 1 - Relegation - Play Offs - Final

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now
Andorra	20:45	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	15:45	Disney+
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Azerbaijan	22:45	Setanta Sports 2
Bolivia	14:45	ESPN 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	14:45	ESPN 5
Colombia	13:45	ESPN 5
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Ecuador	13:45	ESPN 5
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	21:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	20:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	22:45	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	20:45	Ligue 1+
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	00:45	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	21:45	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	00:45	Setanta Sports 2
Mexico	12:45	FOX One, FOX Sports
Moldova	21:45	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	14:45	ESPN 5
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 5
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Voyo
Russia	21:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
South Korea	03:45	Coupang Play
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	21:45	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
International	18:45	Onefootball


	Saint-Étienne		Nice

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.58	3.2	2.88	Watch
	2.63	3.25	2.91
	2.32	3.36	3.09	Watch
	2.5	3	2.8
	2.63	3.24	2.92
	2.5	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.5)	3.21 ↑ (3.15)	2.9 (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
37.6%

Draw
29.6%

Nice
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.9%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

30.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59%	25.6%	15.4%

Saint Étienne - Nice Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 23 - 59%). Nice will win (votes: 6 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 25.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 43.6% – 74.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (C) 39. Pedro K. 26. Le Cardinal J. 6. Bernauer M. 8. Appiah D. 14. Kante A. 35. Gadegbeku L. 7. Cardona I. 20. Boakye A. 22. Davitashvili Z. 9. Stassin L.	80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 28. Bah J. 37. Peprah K. 26. Bard M. 8. Sanson M. (C) 6. Boudaoui H. 92. Clauss J. 10. Diop S. 47. Gouveia T. 25. Cho M.
Substitutes
19. Annan E. 17. Duffus J. 13. Ferreira J. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 28. Miladinovic I. 29. Moueffek A. 3. Nade M. 10. Tardieu F. 52. Toty M.	2. Abdi A. 99. Abdul Samed S. 32. Boudache K. 39. Coulibaly D. 21. Jansson I. 90. Kevin 55. Ndayishimiye Y. 24. Vanhoutte C. 30. Zelazowski B. (G)
Coaches
Montanier P.	Puel C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Boudaoui H. ↓, Vanhoutte C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gouveia T. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
60', Appiah D. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
63', Kante A. 🟨,
63', Cho M. ↓, Kevin ↑,
63', Diop S. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
67', Cardona I. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
79', Gadegbeku L. ↓, Tardieu F. ↑,
90', Clauss J. ↓, Coulibaly D. ↑,
90+1', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 0.

Saint-Étienne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nice is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Saint-Étienne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Saint-Étienne could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: El Jamali N. (Knee Injury) Eymard P. (Inactive) Jaber M. (Inactive) Lamba C. (Injury) Old B. (Muscle Injury) Paalberg M. (Inactive) Tardieu F. (Calf Injury) Traore L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Injury) Abdul Samed S. (Inactive) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Ndombele T. (Inactive) Pereira E. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Gadegbeku L. (Injury) Le Cardinal J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 2.1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Nice	8	3	2	3	8:10	-2	11

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Nice: 0.62%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1
15.05.26	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	1:0 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
09.05.26	Saint-Étienne - Amiens	5:0 ✺
02.05.26	Rodez - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Saint-Étienne - Troyes	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Bastia - Saint-Étienne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWLLL
- OGC Nice
Coupe De France
22.05.26	Lens - Nice	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Nice - Metz	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Auxerre - Nice	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Nice - Lens	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Olympique Marseille - Nice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
21.12.25	Nice - Saint-Étienne	2:1
French Ligue 1
01.03.25	Saint-Étienne - Nice	1:3
20.09.24	Nice - Saint-Étienne	8:0
11.05.22	Nice - Saint-Étienne	4:2
25.09.21	Saint-Étienne - Nice	0:3
31.01.21	Nice - Saint-Étienne	0:1
18.10.20	Saint-Étienne - Nice	1:3

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