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Saint-Étienne - Nice: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Ligue 1 - Relegation - Play Offs - Final
  • Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday
  • Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
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    Saint-Étienne Nice
    Saint-Étienne Nice
    1 X 2
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    Bovada 2.5 3.25 2.9
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.53 ↑
    (2.5)    		 3.21 ↑
    (3.15)    		 2.9
    (2.9)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Saint-Étienne
    37.6%    		Draw
    29.6%    		Nice
    32.8%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    37.7% 29.9% 32.5%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    38.3% 30.4% 32%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    59% 25.6% 15.4%

    Saint Étienne - Nice Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 23 - 59%). Nice will win (votes: 6 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 25.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 43.6% – 74.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    30. FranceLarsonneur G. (C)
    39. FrancePedro K.
    26. FranceLe Cardinal J.
      6. FranceBernauer M.
      8. FranceAppiah D.
    14. IvoryKante A.
    35. FranceGadegbeku L.
      7. MaltaCardona I.
    20. GhanaBoakye A.
    22. GeorgiaDavitashvili Z.
      9. BelgiumStassin L.
    		80. SenegalDiouf Y. (G)
    33. SenegalMendy A.
    28. SierraBah J.
    37. GhanaPeprah K.
    26. FranceBard M.
      8. FranceSanson M. (C)
      6. AlgeriaBoudaoui H.
    92. FranceClauss J.
    10. MoroccoDiop S.
    47. PortugalGouveia T.
    25. FranceCho M.
    Substitutes
    19. GhanaAnnan E.
    17. EnglandDuffus J.
    13. PortugalFerreira J.
      1. FranceMaubleu B. (G)
    28. SerbiaMiladinovic I.
    29. MoroccoMoueffek A.
      3. FranceNade M.
    10. FranceTardieu F.
    52. FranceToty M.
    		  2. TunisiaAbdi A.
    99. GhanaAbdul Samed S.
    32. FranceBoudache K.
    39. FranceCoulibaly D.
    21. SwedenJansson I.
    90. SpainKevin
    55. BurundiNdayishimiye Y.
    24. BelgiumVanhoutte C.
    30. PolandZelazowski B. (G)
    Coaches
         FranceMontanier P.
    		     FrancePuel C.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 11', Boudaoui H. ↓, Vanhoutte C. ↑,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 46', Gouveia T. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
    • 60', Appiah D. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
    • 63', Kante A. 🟨,
    • 63', Cho M. ↓, Kevin ↑,
    • 63', Diop S. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
    • 67', Cardona I. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
    • 79', Gadegbeku L. ↓, Tardieu F. ↑,
    • 90', Clauss J. ↓, Coulibaly D. ↑,
    • 90+1', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,

    Preview

  • First leg.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 0.
  • Saint-Étienne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Nice is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  • Saint-Étienne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Saint-Étienne could have a small edge in this match.
  • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: El Jamali N. (Knee Injury) Eymard P. (Inactive) Jaber M. (Inactive) Lamba C. (Injury) Old B. (Muscle Injury) Paalberg M. (Inactive) Tardieu F. (Calf Injury) Traore L. (Inactive)
  • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Injury) Abdul Samed S. (Inactive) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Ndombele T. (Inactive) Pereira E. (Ankle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Gadegbeku L. (Injury) Le Cardinal J. (Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 2.1:1.5).

    • Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now
    Nice: 0.58%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    14Nice51223:6-35

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - AS Saint-Étienne
    French Ligue 1
    15.05.26 Saint-Étienne - Rodez 1:0 penalties ✺
    French Ligue 2
    09.05.26 Saint-Étienne - Amiens 5:0 ✺
    02.05.26 Rodez - Saint-Étienne 2:1 ✺
    25.04.26 Saint-Étienne - Troyes 0:3 ✺
    18.04.26 Bastia - Saint-Étienne 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9
    WWLLL
    - OGC Nice
    Coupe De France
    22.05.26 Lens - Nice 3:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1
    17.05.26 Nice - Metz 0:0 ✺
    10.05.26 Auxerre - Nice 2:1 ✺
    02.05.26 Nice - Lens 1:1 ✺
    26.04.26 Olympique Marseille - Nice 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6
    LTLTT
    Latest Head to Head
    Coupe De France
    21.12.25 Nice - Saint-Étienne 2:1
    French Ligue 1
    01.03.25 Saint-Étienne - Nice 1:3
    20.09.24 Nice - Saint-Étienne 8:0
    11.05.22 Nice - Saint-Étienne 4:2
    25.09.21 Saint-Étienne - Nice 0:3
    31.01.21 Nice - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    18.10.20 Saint-Étienne - Nice 1:3
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - AS Saint-Étienne
    French Ligue 2
    10.10.26 Saint-Étienne - Rodez ✺
    - OGC Nice
    French Ligue 1
    11.10.26 Nice - Strasbourg ✺

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