Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 9

Date: 30 October 2026, Friday ⏱️ In 5h 52m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
Austria	19:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	Arena Sport 4
Canada	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	15:00	Disney+
China	02:00	Migu
Colombia	13:00	Disney+
Croatia	19:00	Arena Sport 6, Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	20:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	19:00	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	19:00	Viaplay
Finland	20:00	Viaplay
France	19:00	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	19:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	01:00	Vidio
Israel	20:00	Sport 5 Max
Italy	19:00	Ligue 1+
Japan	03:00	DAZN Japan
Mexico	12:00	FOX One
Netherlands	19:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	19:00	Viaplay
Peru	13:00	Disney+
Poland	19:00	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	20:00	Voyo
Serbia	19:00	Arena Sport 6, Arena Sport 8
Slovakia	19:00	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
South Korea	03:00	Coupang Play
Spain	19:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	19:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	19:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	18:00	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	15:00	Disney+
Usa	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	14:00	Disney+
International	18:00	OneFootball TV


	Nice		Rennes

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.6	Watch
	2.70	3.75	2.37
	2.58	3.4	2.62
	2.64	3.7	2.7
	2.52	3.6	2.64	Watch
	2.6	3.55	2.65
	2.65	3.68	2.73	Watch
	2.45	3.65	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.72)	3.62 ↓ (3.77)	2.62 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
37%

Draw
26.5%

Rennes
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.6%

25%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

24.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

Nice - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Rennes will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.60) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th and 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 2.

In recent outings, Nice has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rennes shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Nice could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nice has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:26 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nice against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:14 goals (averaging 1.5:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rennes	8	5	1	2	18:14	4	16
10	Nice	8	3	2	3	8:10	-2	11

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Rennes: 2.86% Nice: 0.26%

Last Results with these Odds

Nice - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.65%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Rennes - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.38%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
23.10.26	Brest - Nice	1:2 ✺
18.10.26	Lyon - Nice	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Nice - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Nice - Lille	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Auxerre - Nice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLWWL
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
25.10.26	Rennes - Strasbourg	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Juventus - Rennes	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.26	Paris FC - Rennes	4:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Rennes - OFI	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
11.10.26	Rennes - Auxerre	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
08.03.26	Nice - Rennes	0:4
26.10.25	Rennes - Nice	1:2
10.05.25	Rennes - Nice	2:0
03.01.25	Nice - Rennes	3:2
13.01.24	Rennes - Nice	2:0
05.11.23	Nice - Rennes	2:0
06.05.23	Nice - Rennes	2:1

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