Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Hamel J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	Amazon Prime Video
Serbia	Arena Sport
Turkey	beIN Sports 2 MAX
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Nice		Troyes

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.88	3.4	4.33
	1.89	3.35	4.4
	1.84	3.5	4.4
	1.88	3.53	4.77
	1.83	3.4	4.6	Watch
	1.85	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.58)	3.47 ↓ (4.05)	4.51 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS (Canada)

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nice
51.4%

Draw
27.5%

Troyes
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

23.3%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

24.3%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nice's form might have worsened.

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.7%	10.4%	26.9%

Nice - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 42 - 62.7%). Troyes will win (votes: 18 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 51.1% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 12).

Nice has the most likely position - 10 (8.66%), has project points - 49, has currently - 8, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Troyes has the most likely position - 14 (7.99%), has project points - 45, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 59, small importance 30, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nice won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Nice could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Nice have a series of guest games.

In this match Nice is a favorite.

There will not play in Troyes: Agoume L. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nice won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Nice won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.10.22	Slovácko - Nice	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.10.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	2:1 ✺
18.09.22	Nice - Angers	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	Partizan - Nice	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
11.09.22	Ajaccio - Nice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLTW
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 1
02.10.22	Troyes - Reims	2:2 ✺
18.09.22	Clermont - Troyes	1:3 ✺
09.09.22	Lens - Troyes	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Troyes - Rennes	1:1 ✺
31.08.22	Monaco - Troyes	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
24.04.22	Nice - Troyes	1:0
17.10.21	Troyes - Nice	1:0
01.04.18	Troyes - Nice	0:2
11.08.17	Nice - Troyes	1:2
05.03.16	Nice - Troyes	2:1
15.08.15	Troyes - Nice	3:3
28.04.13	Nice - Troyes	3:1

Upcoming Matches