Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 11

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Variety 4
Albania	SuperSport 4
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, Sky Sport 253
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Paris Saint-Germain		Nice

	1	X	2
	1.17	8	15	Watch
	1.14	8.3	18
	1.30	5.89	8.52	Watch
	1.19	8.24	14.6	Watch
	1.2	7.5	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.33)	7.59 ↑ (6.03)	13.62 ↑ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
80.2%

Draw
12.7%

Nice
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

15.8%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

15.6%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris Saint-Germain's performance.

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris Saint-Germain that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Paris Saint Germain - Nice Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - draw (4.30) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH +2 - Nice (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 1 - 50%). Nice (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Chevalier L. (G) 2. Hakimi A. (C) 6. Zabarnyi I. 51. Pacho W. 25. Mendes N. 17. Vitinha 33. Zaire-Emery W. 87. Neves J. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 24. Mayulu S. 29. Barcola B.	80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 28. Bah J. 37. Peprah K. 2. Abdi A. 6. Boudaoui H. 20. Louchet T. 26. Bard M. (C) 8. Sanson M. 47. Gouveia T. 21. Jansson I.
Substitutes
4. Beraldo L. 10. Dembele O. 21. Hernandez L. 19. Lee Kang-In 5. Marquinhos 47. Ndjantou Q. 9. Ramos G. 8. Ruiz F. 39. Safonov M. (G)	99. Abdul Samed S. 7. Boga J. 38. Bouard E. 10. Diop S. 31. Dupe M. (G) 90. Kevin 36. Mantsounga B. 22. Ndombele T. 24. Vanhoutte C.
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Bah J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jansson I. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
63', Zabarnyi I. 🟨,
65', Neves J. ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
66', Barcola B. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
71', Sanson M. ↓, Vanhoutte C. ↑,
72', Diop S. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
72', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
72', Mayulu S. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
78', Kvaratskhelia K. 🟨,
84', Louchet T. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
87', Lee Kang-In 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Ramos G. ⚽, Kvaratskhelia K. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, PSG has had a series of away games.

In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in PSG: Doue D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Cho M. (Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Moffi T. (Calf Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in PSG: Dembele O. (Muscle Injury) Lee Kang-In (Illness) Ruiz F. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Nice: Clauss J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.5:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
29.10.25	Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint-Germain	2:7 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.10.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	3:3 ✺
05.10.25	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWWTT
- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
29.10.25	Nice - Lille	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Rennes - Nice	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Celta de Vigo - Nice	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.25	Nice - Lyon	3:2 ✺
05.10.25	Monaco - Nice	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
25.04.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	1:3
06.10.24	Nice - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1
15.05.24	Nice - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
Coupe De France
13.03.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	3:1
French Ligue 1
15.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	2:3
08.04.23	Nice - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2
01.10.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	2:1

Upcoming Matches