Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Rostov Arena (Rostov)

Referee: Kazartsev V. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 2


	Rostov		Baltika Kaliningrad

	1	X	2
	2.94	3.05	2.8
	2.96	3.08	2.84	Watch
	2.35	3.08	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.35)	3.07 ↓ (3.08)	2.88 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
35.1%

Draw
31.4%

Baltika Kaliningrad
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.7%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Rostov - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Rostov will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Baltika will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yatimov R. (G) 4. Melekhin V. 3. Sako O. 22. Semenchuk D. 7. Ronaldo 8. Mironov A. 62. Komarov I. 67. Ignatov G. 99. Suleymanov T. 69. Golenkov E. (C) 9. Mohebi M.	67. Borisko M. (G) 2. Varatynov S. 16. Andrade K. (C) 4. Gassama N. 23. Beveev M. 10. Petrov I. 26. Belikov I. 68. Ryadno M. 22. Titkov N. 73. Petrov M. 91. Gil B.
Substitutes
17. Ajasa I. M. 59. Babakin N. 19. Bayramyan K. 34. El Askalany E. 13. Hankic H. (G) 18. Kuchaev K. 87. Langovich A. 5. Prokhin D. 91. Shamonin A. 58. Shantaliy D.	21. Anderson E. 25. Filin A. 14. Kovac S. 11. Kovalev Y. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 69. Manelov I. 5. Mourid A. 39. Stepanov K. 15. Yenne T.
Coaches
Alba J.	Talalaev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Belikov I. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Gil B. ⚽, Beveev M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Titkov N. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
47', Petrov I. 🟨,
69', Golenkov E. ↓, Kuchaev K. ↑,
78', Mironov A. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Gil B. ↓, Yenne T. ↑,
79', Belikov I. ↓, Filin A. ↑,
80', Komarov I. ↓, Shamonin A. ↑,
88', Melekhin V. ↓, Prokhin D. ↑,
89', Manelov I. 🟨,
89', Manelov I. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
90', Petrov M. ↓, Kovac S. ↑,
90+1', Beveev M. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Ronaldo ⚽, Mironov A. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5).

Rostov is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Baltika has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Baltika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Baltika has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

FK Rostov: 0.84% Baltika: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14:12	2	11
11	FK Rostov	10	3	2	5	11:17	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Rostov - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.23%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rostov
Russian Cup
04.03.26	Rostov - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
28.02.26	Krasnodar - Rostov	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.02.26	Spartak Moscow - Rostov	5:2 ✺
18.02.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Rostov - Qingdao West Coast	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Cup
03.03.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Zenit	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
27.02.26	Zenit - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.02.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Akhmat Grozny	2:2 ✺
18.02.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Kaisar	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Navbahor Namangan	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTW?

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
21.09.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rostov	0:0
19.05.24	Rostov - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1
Russian Cup
02.05.24	Rostov - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:1
Russian Premier League
16.09.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rostov	2:2
Club Friendly
07.02.13	Rostov - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1

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