Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 9 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: WakeMed Soccer Park (Cary, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, TUDN
World	Disney+


	North Carolina		Tulsa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.33	5	6.25
	1.36	5	7
	1.35	5.31	7.3
	1.39	5.1	6.75	Watch
	1.3	5	7
	1.34	5.05	7.28	Watch
	1.36	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (2.02)	5.07 ↑ (3.5)	6.94 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDN

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Current Win Probability

North Carolina
68.5%

Draw
18.2%

Tulsa
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

26%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

25.5%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Carolina's performance.

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tulsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-22.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Carolina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tulsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

North Carolina - Tulsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. North Carolina will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Tulsa will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGuire J. (G) 2. Craig P. (C) 27. Washington B. 7. Batista L. 14. Mentzingen R. 17. Martin C. 15. Maldonado M. 42. Armstrong E. 16. Da Costa R. 8. Perez L. 11. Conway E.	99. Penaranda J. (G) 12. Tetteh R. 3. Souahy A. 20. Seagrist P. 47. St.Clair H. 7. Booth A. 6. Diallo B. 31. Damm O. 19. Stojanovic S. 29. Bibout A. 77. Bettache F.
Substitutes
28. Brewer S. 6. Hayes J. 4. Malou J. 24. Mulqueen T. (G) 5. Navarro D. 65. Silverman J. 44. Sommersall R. 66. Sundstrom F.	10. Bell M. 21. Dalou A. 70. Pacheco D. 4. Rogers A. 24. Roggeveen J. (G) 63. Sanchez S. 66. Sanchez S.
Coaches
Bradford J.	Sanchez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Da Costa R. ⚽,
22', Seagrist P. 🟨,
30', Perez L. 🟨,
33', Bibout A. 🟨,
36', Armstrong E. 🟨,
45+3', Booth A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Booth A. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
61', Stojanovic S. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
68', Da Costa R. ↓, Sommersall R. ↑,
68', Bibout A. ↓, Bell M. ↑,
68', Tetteh R. ↓, Rogers A. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Conway E. (Pen),
82', Perez L. ↓, Brewer S. ↑,
84', Sanchez S. 🟨,
85', Seagrist P. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
88', Mentzingen R. ↓, Hayes J. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches North Carolina is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tulsa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

North Carolina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match North Carolina is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Carolina FC
USL Championship
06.10.24	Birmingham Legion - North Carolina	2:3 ✺
28.09.24	El Paso Locomotive - North Carolina	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	North Carolina - Indy Eleven	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Memphis 901 - North Carolina	3:0 ✺
07.09.24	North Carolina - Oakland Roots	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLW
- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
05.10.24	Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Oakland Roots - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Rhode Island - Tulsa	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Tulsa - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
11.09.24	Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLT

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