Match Info

League One - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Adams Park (High Wycombe)

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)


	Wycombe Wanderers		Northampton Town

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.3	4.33
	1.85	3.35	4.25
	1.95	3.46	4.54
	1.24	5.11	14.26	Watch
	1.9	3.48	4.2	Watch
	1.79	3.2	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.79)	3.65 ↑ (3.2)	6.06 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wycombe Wanderers
56.5%

Draw
27.2%

Northampton Town
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

28.9%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

29.8%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Wycombe Wanderers - Northampton Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Northampton (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Sas M. (G) 2. Grimmer J. 26. Taylor C. 6. Allen T. 3. Harvie D. 10. Leahy L. 20. Henderson E. 21. Mullins J. 44. Onyedinma F. 12. Woodrow C. 11. Bell S.	1. Burge L. (G) 3. McCarthy C. 35. Dyche M. 21. Perkins J. 7. Hoskins S. 4. Campbell D. 23. Taylor T. 15. Thorniley J. 8. McGeehan C. 19. Wheatley E. 14. Fornah T.
Substitutes
30. Abbott G. 22. Back F. 8. Boyd-Munce C. 17. Casey D. 9. Fink B. 24. McNeilly D. 50. Norris W. (G)	2. Burroughs J. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 18. Forbes M. 17. Jacobs M. 10. List E. 11. Swyer K. 27. Vale J.
Coaches
Dodds M.	Nolan K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Harvie D. ⚽, Leahy L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Fornah T. 🟨,
62', Mullins J. ↓, Abbott G. ↑,
69', McCarthy C. ↓, Burroughs J. ↑,
69', Taylor T. ↓, List E. ↑,
71', Bell S. ↓, Fink B. ↑,
71', Henderson E. ↓, Boyd-Munce C. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Abbott G. ⚽, Leahy L. (A),
75', Dyche M. ↓, Forbes M. ↑,
76', Fornah T. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
76', Wheatley E. ↓, Vale J. ↑,
85', Onyedinma F. ↓, Back F. ↑,
86', Woodrow C. ↓, McNeilly D. ↑,
90+5', Boyd-Munce C. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Wycombe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Wycombe is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Wycombe: Scowen J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury) Vale J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Northampton: Jacobs M. (Knock)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Wycombe won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Northampton Town - the odds 4.8 are the expected chance of winning is 19.3%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
13.09.25	Peterborough United - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Mansfield Town	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Colchester United	1:2 ✺
English League One
30.08.25	Stevenage Borough - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Bromley - Wycombe Wanderers	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLW
- Northampton Town
English League One
13.09.25	Northampton Town - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Leyton Orient - Northampton Town	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Northampton Town - Exeter City	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Northampton Town - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.01.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Northampton Town	0:0
14.09.24	Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	1:2
English League Cup
13.08.24	Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	0:2
English League One
16.03.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Northampton Town	2:0
02.09.23	Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1
English League Cup
09.08.22	Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	1:2
English EFL Trophy
04.09.18	Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1

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