The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 45.7%
Draw 28.5%
Colchester United 25.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.5%
27.8%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
24.1%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northampton Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colchester United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Northampton Town - Colchester United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jeacock Z. (G) 44. Donacien J. 6. Moore E. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 3. Maxwell J. 16. Wormleighton J. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 8. Evans L. 7. Hoskins S. 19. Dale O. 9. Warhurst M.
22. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 2. Hunt R. 5. Tucker J. (C) 24. Terry F. 3. Iandolo E. 4. Perry B. 26. Williams J. 27. Thorn O. 12. Sesay M. 15. Lubala B. 9. Ihionvien B.
Substitutes
20. Briggs L. 31. Dadge J. (G) 35. Dyche M. 14. Fornah T. 10. List E. 4. O'Brien Whitmarsh J. 22. Powell J.
39. Connolly K. 6. Digby P. 44. Kuffour S. 10. Payne J. 20. Raggett S. 30. Vincent-Young K. 17. Williams J.
Coaches
Hogg C.
Cowley D.
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 23rd in the Relegation - National League and 19th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 4.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Northampton is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Northampton has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:11 (averaging 1.7:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Northampton against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:9 goals (averaging 2.2:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
19
Colchester
11
2
6
3
11:14
-3
12
23
Northampton
10
2
4
4
6:8
-2
10
Outrights of English League Two for now
Colchester: 2.21% Northampton: 1.91%
Last Results with these Odds
Colchester United - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.73%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.