Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Trophy

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Sixfields Stadium (Northampton)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Northampton Town		Leicester City U21

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.7	Watch
	1.82	3.6	3.4
	1.9	3.75	3.5	Watch
	1.9	3.85	3.59
	1.84	3.79	3.87	Watch
	1.53	4.2	4.5
	1.9	3.53	3.84	Watch
	1.9	3.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.59)	3.73 ↓ (3.86)	3.74 ↓ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Town
50.5%

Draw
24.7%

Leicester City U21
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

23.5%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

22.5%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northampton Town's form might have worsened.

Leicester City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leicester City U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northampton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City U21 than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leicester City U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Northampton Town - Leicester City U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: Northampton Town will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Tzanev N. (G) 38. Licorish K. 2. Magloire T. 25. Tomlinson J. (C) 28. Eyoma T. 30. Chouchane S. 4. Sowerby J. 23. Hondermarck W. 37. Ireland M. 40. Dobson N. 19. Roberts T.	71. Bausor S. (G) 47. Wormleighton J. 50. Godsmark-Ford H. (C) 57. Wilson-Brown T. 77. Aluko O. 62. Joseph J. 49. Cartwright H. 38. Ewing O. 34. Golding M. 37. Alves W. 54. Pennant K.
Substitutes
43. Carroll C. 36. Dadge J. (G) 18. McGeehan C. 10. Pinnock M. 44. Rayfield J. 29. Waghorn M. 41. Wyatt R.	64. Amartey B. 91. Evans J. 61. French H. (G) 56. Hill D. 73. King J. 93. Monga J. 86. Page L.
Coaches
Brady J.	McSweeney L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Eyoma T. ⚽, Chouchane S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sowerby J. ↓, Wyatt R. ↑,
58', Ireland M. 🟨,
60', Golding M. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
61', Wormleighton J. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
62', Hondermarck W. ↓, McGeehan C. ↑,
63', Eyoma T. ↓, Pinnock M. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Dobson N. ⚽,
71', Pennant K. ↓, King J. ↑,
76', Ewing O. ↓, Page L. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Dobson N. ⚽, Roberts T. (A),
84', Chouchane S. ↓, Rayfield J. ↑,
87', Roberts T. ↓, Carroll C. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Leicester U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Northampton is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Town
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Northampton Town - Kettering Town	1:2 ET ✺
English League One
29.10.24	Lincoln City - Northampton Town	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Northampton Town - Crawley Town	3:0 ✺
22.10.24	Stockport County - Northampton Town	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Northampton Town - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWTW
- Leicester City U21
English Premier League 2
01.11.24	Leicester City U21 - Aston Villa U21	3:1 ✺
25.10.24	Chelsea U21 - Leicester City U21	3:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
21.10.24	Leicester City U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	1:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
04.10.24	Blackburn Rovers U21 - Leicester City U21	3:2 ✺
27.09.24	Leicester City U21 - Stoke City U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW

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