Match Info

Date: 23 August 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Carrow Road (Norwich) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)


	Norwich City		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.4	2.9
	2.37	3.25	2.87
	2.45	3.35	2.8
	2.34	3.35	2.95
	2.45	3.47	2.87
	2.8	3.25	2.5
	2.38	3.4	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.92)	3.35 ↑ (3.32)	2.82 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Norwich City
38.5%

Draw
28.1%

Bournemouth
33.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.7%

27.9%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

27.7%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Norwich City's performance.

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bournemouth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norwich City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bournemouth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.3%	30.8%	26.9%

Norwich City - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 23.3% – 61.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Norwich won 2.

Norwich is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bournemouth is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Norwich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Norwich: Byram S. (Injury) Hayden I. (Knee Injury) Idah A. (Injury) Rowe J. (Injury) Sorensen J. (Injury)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Brooks D. (Illness) Fredericks R. (Calf Injury) Rothwell J. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Bournemouth: Solanke D. (Ankle Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Norwich won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Norwich won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwich City
English League Championship
19.08.22	Norwich City - Millwall	2:0 ✺
16.08.22	Norwich City - Huddersfield Town	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Hull City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.22	Norwich City - Birmingham City	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Championship
06.08.22	Norwich City - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWT
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
20.08.22	Bournemouth - Arsenal	0:3 ✺
13.08.22	Manchester City - Bournemouth	4:0 ✺
06.08.22	Bournemouth - Aston Villa	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Bournemouth - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
23.07.22	Bournemouth - Bristol City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
24.08.21	Norwich City - Bournemouth	6:0
English League Championship
17.04.21	Norwich City - Bournemouth	1:3
27.09.20	Bournemouth - Norwich City	1:0
English Premier League
18.01.20	Norwich City - Bournemouth	1:0
19.10.19	Bournemouth - Norwich City	0:0
English League Cup
30.10.18	Bournemouth - Norwich City	2:1
English Premier League
16.01.16	Bournemouth - Norwich City	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwich City
English League Championship
03.11.26	Derby County - Norwich City	✺
31.10.26	Norwich City - Watford	✺
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
31.10.26	Bournemouth - Leeds United	✺
English League Cup
28.10.26	Bournemouth - Aston Villa	✺

Norwich City - Bournemouth