Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	18:30	SuperSport 2
Argentina	14:30	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	21:30	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	04:30	Stan Sport
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	21:30	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	18:30	Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	14:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	14:30	Disney+
China	01:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	12:30	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:30	CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	TV3+, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	19:30	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	18:30	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 5
Georgia	21:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	18:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	01:30	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	18:30	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	17:30	SÝN Sport
India	23:00	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	00:30	SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	17:30	NOW
Italy	18:30	Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	02:30	U-NEXT
Kenya	20:30	Gotv
Kosovo	18:30	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	23:30	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	01:30	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	11:30	FOX One
Moldova	19:30	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	00:00	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	23:15	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	18:30	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
New Zealand	06:30	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	18:30	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	22:30	ARY ZAP
Peru	12:30	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	18:30	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	19:30	Voyo
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	01:30	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	18:30	Voyo
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	19:30	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN South
South Korea	02:30	Coupang Play
Spain	18:30	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	01:30	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	22:30	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	00:30	AIS PLAY
Turkey	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	22:30	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	19:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	17:30	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	14:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Uzbekistan	22:30	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	13:30	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	00:30	FPT Play


	Bournemouth		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.5
	5.5	4.5	1.53
	5.9	4.55	1.55
	6.07	4.53	1.55	Watch
	5.75	4.2	1.5
	6.53	4.61	1.51	Watch
	6	4.25	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.96 ↑ (5.1)	4.45 ↑ (3.94)	1.53 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
16%

Draw
21.5%

Arsenal
62.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.7%

24.2%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

23.7%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.5%	6.4%	85.1%

Bournemouth - Arsenal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Arsenal (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Bournemouth (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (80 of 94 users predict this - 85.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.91% – 92.31%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 3 - 8.8%). Arsenal (votes: 30 - 88.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petrovic D. (G) 20. Jimenez A. 23. Hill J. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 16. Tavernier M. 8. Scott A. 7. Brooks D. (C) 19. Kluivert J. 24. Semenyo A. 9. Evanilson	1. Raya D. (G) 12. Timber J. 2. Saliba W. 6. Gabriel 5. Hincapie P. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 36. Zubimendi M. 41. Rice D. 20. Madueke N. 14. Gyökeres V. 11. Martinelli G.
Substitutes
21. Adli A. 4. Cook L. 18. Diakite B. 17. Forster F. (G) 22. Kroupi E. J. 50. Rees-Dottin R. 15. Smith A. 6. Soler J. 26. Unal E.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 10. Eze E. 9. Gabriel Jesus 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 23. Merino M. 16. Norgaard C. 7. Saka B. 19. Trossard L. 4. White B.
Coaches
Iraola A.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Evanilson ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Gabriel ⚽,
26', Semenyo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 1 - 2, Rice D. ⚽, Odegaard M. (A),
66', Gyökeres V. ↓, Gabriel Jesus ↑,
67', Martinelli G. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
67', Madueke N. ↓, Saka B. ↑,
67', Brooks D. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
70', Zubimendi M. 🟨,
71', 1 - 3, Rice D. ⚽, Saka B. (A),
74', Evanilson ↓, Unal E. ↑,
74', Kluivert J. ↓, Cook L. ↑,
74', Scott A. ↓, Kroupi E. J. ↑,
77', 2 - 3, Kroupi E. J. ⚽, Cook L. (A),
80', Kroupi E. J. 🟨,
80', Odegaard M. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
90+1', Adli A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 2.

Bournemouth has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Arsenal is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bournemouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Arsenal has had a series of home games.

In this match, Arsenal is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Knee Injury) Akinmboni M. (Muscle Injury) Christie R. (Knee Injury) Doak B. (Hamstring Injury) Milosavljevic V. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Injury) Dowman M. (Ankle Injury) Mosquera C. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Bournemouth: Cook L. (Neck Injury)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Rice D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:41. (average 0.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal	8	7	0	1	13:5	8	21
17	Bournemouth	7	1	3	3	9:13	-4	6

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Arsenal: 59.23% Bournemouth: 0.09%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
30.12.25	Chelsea - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Brentford - Bournemouth	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Bournemouth - Burnley	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Manchester United - Bournemouth	4:4 ✺
06.12.25	Bournemouth - Chelsea	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLTTT
- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
30.12.25	Arsenal - Aston Villa	4:1 ✺
27.12.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.12.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
20.12.25	Everton - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Arsenal - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
03.05.25	Arsenal - Bournemouth	1:2
19.10.24	Bournemouth - Arsenal	2:0
Club Friendly
24.07.24	Arsenal - Bournemouth	2:1 penalties
English Premier League
04.05.24	Arsenal - Bournemouth	3:0
30.09.23	Bournemouth - Arsenal	0:4
04.03.23	Arsenal - Bournemouth	3:2
20.08.22	Bournemouth - Arsenal	0:3

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