The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Norwich City 26.1%
Draw 27%
Leeds United 46.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.9%
25.6%
49.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
25.5%
49.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
33.3%
55.6%
Norwich City - Leeds United Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Leeds will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 32.6% โ 78.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gunn A. (G) 35. Fisher K. 4. Duffy S. 33. Cordoba J. 6. Doyle C. 26. Nunez M. 23. McLean K. (C) 17. Crnac A. 20. Slimane A. 7. Sainz B. 9. Sargent J.
1. Meslier I. (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. (C) 3. Firpo J. 22. Tanaka A. 44. Gruev I. 29. Gnonto W. 11. Aaronson B. 17. Ramazani L. 19. Joseph M.
Substitutes
18. Forson A. 41. Forsyth G. 21. Gordon K. 5. Hanley G. 40. Hills B. 12. Long G. (G) 44. Myles E. 29. Schwartau O. 3. Stacey J.
9. Bamford P. 25. Byram S. 42. Chambers S. 50. Crew C. 26. Darlow K. (G) 37. Debayo J. 30. Gelhardt J. 10. Piroe J. 8. Rothwell J.
Coaches
Thorup J.
Farke D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Struijk P. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Sargent J. (Pen),
20', Gruev I. ↓, Rothwell J. ↑,
23', Rothwell J. 🟨,
30', Sargent J. 🟨,
38', Doyle C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cordoba J. ↓, Stacey J. ↑,
47', Bogle J. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Ramazani L. ⚽, Gnonto W. (A),
66', Gnonto W. 🟨,
70', Ramazani L. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
70', Joseph M. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
71', Slimane A. ↓, Schwartau O. ↑,
71', Crnac A. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
80', Nunez M. ↓, Forson A. ↑,
82', Gnonto W. ↓, Gelhardt J. ↑,
82', Firpo J. ↓, Byram S. ↑,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Norwich won 0.
Recent matches Norwich is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Leeds is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recently Norwich have a series of guest games.
Leeds will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Norwich: Barnes A.
(Leg Injury)
Fassnacht C.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sorensen J.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Leeds: Ampadu E.
(Knee Injury)
Solomon M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wober M.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Leeds: James D.
(Injury)
Struijk P.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Norwich won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 19:28 (average 1.3:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Norwich won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1.1:1.9).
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Gunn A. (G) 
Fisher K. 
Duffy S. 
Cordoba J. 
Nunez M. 
Crnac A. 
Slimane A. 
Sainz B. 
Sargent J. 
Meslier I. (G) 
Rodon J. 
Struijk P. (C) 
Firpo J. 
Tanaka A. 
Gruev I. 
Gnonto W. 
Ramazani L. 
Forson A. 
Schwartau O. 
Farke D. 
