Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Selhurst Park (London)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS


	Crystal Palace		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	1.17	7	13	Watch
	1.18	8	13.5
	1.17	8	17	Watch
	1.17	7.64	16
	1.19	6.65	14.09	Watch
	1.44	4.4	7
	1.19	7.5	13.5	Watch
	1.17	8	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.58)	7.15 ↑ (4.18)	13.89 ↑ (5.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
79.6%

Draw
13.5%

Norwich City
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22.7%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

22.1%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crystal Palace's performance.

Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Norwich City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crystal Palace that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norwich City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Crystal Palace - Norwich City Predictions

Users Predictions: Crystal Palace will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henderson D. (G) 3. Mitchell T. 6. Guehi M. (C) 34. Riad C. 12. Munoz D. 28. Doucoure C. 19. Hughes W. 17. Clyne N. 18. Kamada D. 10. Eze E. 14. Mateta J.	12. Long G. (G) 35. Fisher K. 5. Hanley G. (C) 33. Cordoba J. 14. Chrisene B. 26. Nunez M. 8. Gibbs L. 41. Forsyth G. 18. Forson A. 25. Hernandez O. 17. Crnac A.
Substitutes
29. Ahamada N. 22. Edouard O. 32. Johnstone S. (G) 8. Lerma J. 26. Richards C. 7. Sarr I. 15. Schlupp J. 2. Ward J. 20. Wharton A.	6. Doyle C. 4. Duffy S. 40. Hills B. 37. Mair A. (G) 23. McLean K. 7. Sainz B. 9. Sargent J. 29. Schwartau O. 3. Stacey J.
Coaches
Glasner O.	Thorup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Kamada D. ⚽, Mateta J. (A),
10', Riad C. ↓, Richards C. ↑,
13', Forson A. ↓, McLean K. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', 2 - 0, Mateta J. ⚽, Kamada D. (A),
58', Chrisene B. ↓, Doyle C. ↑,
58', Forsyth G. ↓, Schwartau O. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Mateta J. ⚽, Eze E. (A),
70', Hughes W. ↓, Wharton A. ↑,
70', Doucoure C. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
70', Kamada D. ↓, Sarr I. ↑,
76', Munoz D. 🟨,
79', Munoz D. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
83', Crnac A. ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
83', Nunez M. ↓, Stacey J. ↑,
84', 4 - 0, Eze E. ⚽, Wharton A. (A),
88', Lerma J. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crystal Palace won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Norwich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Norwich have a series of home games.

In this match Crystal Palace is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Crystal Palace won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Crystal Palace won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
24.08.24	Crystal Palace - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
18.08.24	Brentford - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.08.24	Crystal Palace - Nantes	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	West Ham United - Crystal Palace	1:3 ✺
31.07.24	Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTWW
- Norwich City
English League Championship
24.08.24	Norwich City - Sheffield United	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Norwich City - Blackburn Rovers	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Norwich City - Stevenage Borough	4:3 ✺
English League Championship
10.08.24	Oxford United - Norwich City	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Norwich City - St. Pauli	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
09.02.22	Norwich City - Crystal Palace	1:1
28.12.21	Crystal Palace - Norwich City	3:0
01.01.20	Norwich City - Crystal Palace	1:1
28.09.19	Crystal Palace - Norwich City	2:0
09.04.16	Crystal Palace - Norwich City	1:0
08.08.15	Norwich City - Crystal Palace	1:3
01.01.14	Crystal Palace - Norwich City	1:1

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