The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cardiff City 19.9%
Draw 25.6%
Leeds United 54.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19%
24%
57%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18%
22.7%
60.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leeds United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.3%
0%
72.7%
Cardiff City - Leeds United Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Leeds will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 46.4% – 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Alnwick J. (G) 38. Ng P. 12. Chambers C. 2. Fish W. 23. Bagan J. 3. Siopis M. 8. Ralls J. (C) 32. Tanner O. 27. Colwill R. 11. O'Dowda C. 15. Kanga W.
1. Meslier I. (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. 3. Firpo J. 44. Gruev I. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 17. Ramazani L. 11. Aaronson B. 29. Gnonto W. 19. Joseph M.
Substitutes
45. Ashford C. 17. Collins J. 20. El Ghazi A. 4. Goutas D. 1. Horvath E. (G) 35. Rinomhota A. 18. Robertson A. 14. Turnbull D. 16. Willock C.
9. Bamford P. 25. Byram S. 50. Crew C. 26. Darlow K. (G) 37. Debayo J. 10. Piroe J. 8. Rothwell J. 33. Schmidt I. 22. Tanaka A.
Coaches
Bulut E.
Farke D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Siopis M. 🟨,
23', Bagan J. 🟥,
30', 0 - 1, Ramazani L. ⚽, Joseph M. (A),
38', Ng P. 🟨,
40', Bogle J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kanga W. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
58', Tanner O. ↓, El Ghazi A. ↑,
59', Ralls J. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
65', Struijk P. (Pen),
79', Siopis M. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
80', O'Dowda C. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
83', Gruev I. 🟨,
84', Bogle J. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
84', Ramazani L. ↓, Byram S. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Piroe J. ⚽, Aaronson B. (A),
90', Gruev I. ↓, Rothwell J. ↑,
90+1', Joseph M. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
90+2', Gnonto W. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 1.
Cardiff has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Leeds is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Leeds is a favorite.
There will not play in Cardiff: Collins J.
(Leg Injury)
Daland J.
(Knock)
Davies I.
(Knee Injury)
Etete K.
(Leg Injury)
Tsunoda R.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Leeds: Rodon J.
(Head Injury)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 28-25.
Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.
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Alnwick J. (G) 
Bagan J. 
Siopis M. 
Colwill R. 
Kanga W. 
Meslier I. (G) 
Struijk P. 
Firpo J. 
Gruev I. 
Ramazani L. 
Aaronson B. 
Gnonto W. 
Joseph M. 
Collins J. 
Rinomhota A. 
Robertson A. 
Turnbull D. 
Schmidt I. 
Tanaka A. 
Bulut E. 
Farke D. 
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