Match Info

Premier League - Round 35

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Elland Road (Leeds) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	23:30	Solh Sports 1
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	23:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	01:00	Toffee Live
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	15:00	Disney+
China	03:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	See, Viaplay
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	19:00	SÝN, SÝN Sport
India	00:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	02:00	Vidio
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Japan	04:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2, SuperSport 2
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	03:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	00:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	13:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	00:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	07:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	00:00	ARY ZAP
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Philippines	03:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Voyo
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
Singapore	03:00	Hub Premier 1
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Suriname	16:00	SCCN
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	03:00	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	00:00	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, USA Network
Uzbekistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+
Vietnam	02:00	FPT Play


	Leeds United		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	8.5
	1.4	5	7
	1.42	4.65	8.2
	1.43	4.9	8.5
	1.4	4.99	8.6	Watch
	1.36	4.6	7.5
	1.41	4.85	8.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	4.82 ↑ (4.56)	8.14 ↑ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
68.4%

Draw
19.9%

Burnley
11.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.1%

20.9%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

19.1%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Burnley aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.6%	16.9%	8.5%

Leeds United - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 44 - 74.6%). Burnley will win (votes: 5 - 8.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 16.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 63.5% – 85.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Leeds (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Darlow K. (G) 6. Rodon J. 15. Bijol J. 5. Struijk P. 2. Bogle J. 18. Stach A. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 22. Tanaka A. 24. Justin J. 9. Calvert-Lewin D. 19. Okafor N.	1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Walker K. (C) 18. Ekdal H. 5. Esteve M. 12. Humphreys B. 3. Hartman Q. 17. Tchaouna L. 29. Laurent J. 20. Ward-Prowse J. 11. Anthony J. 19. Flemming Z.
Substitutes
11. Aaronson B. 23. Bornauw S. 25. Byram S. 29. Gnonto W. 7. James D. 8. Longstaff S. 1. Lucas Perri (G) 14. Nmecha L. 10. Piroe J.	25. Amdouni Z. 27. Broja A. 10. Edwards M. 16. Florentino 23. Lucas Pires 28. Mejbri H. 8. Ugochukwu L. 13. Weiss M. (G) 4. Worrall J.
Coaches
Farke D.	Jackson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Stach A. ⚽, Bijol J. (A),
27', Struijk P. 🟨,
35', Humphreys B. 🟨,
37', Tchaouna L. 🟨,
40', Rodon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', Calvert-Lewin D. 🟨,
52', 2 - 0, Okafor N. ⚽, Bogle J. (A),
54', Laurent J. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
56', 3 - 0, Calvert-Lewin D. ⚽,
65', Okafor N. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
65', Hartman Q. ↓, Lucas Pires ↑,
65', Ward-Prowse J. ↓, Florentino ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Tchaouna L. ⚽, Anthony J. (A),
72', Stach A. ↓, Aaronson B. ↑,
72', Tanaka A. ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,
75', Ampadu E. 🟨,
76', Humphreys B. ↓, Amdouni Z. ↑,
76', Flemming Z. ↓, Broja A. ↑,
88', Mejbri H. 🟨,
90+4', Bogle J. ↓, James D. ↑,
90+4', Calvert-Lewin D. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Burnley is Relegated to Championship

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 1.

Leeds is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Burnley has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Burnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Leeds has had a series of away games.

In this match, Leeds is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Leeds: Gruev I. (Knee Injury) Gudmundsson G. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Mejbri H. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Leeds	8	2	5	1	9:6	3	11

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Leeds: 0.59%

Last Results with these Odds

Leeds United - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 66.05%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English FA Cup
26.04.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
22.04.26	Bournemouth - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Leeds United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
13.04.26	Manchester United - Leeds United	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.04.26	West Ham United - Leeds United	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LTWWW
- Burnley FC
English Premier League
22.04.26	Burnley - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Burnley	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Fulham - Burnley	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Burnley - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
18.10.25	Burnley - Leeds United	2:0
English League Championship
27.01.25	Burnley - Leeds United	0:0
14.09.24	Leeds United - Burnley	0:1
English Premier League
02.01.22	Leeds United - Burnley	3:1
29.08.21	Burnley - Leeds United	1:1
15.05.21	Burnley - Leeds United	0:4
27.12.20	Leeds United - Burnley	1:0

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