The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nottingham Forest 61.9%
Draw 23.6%
Barnsley 14.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
26.9%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.4%
21.3%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nottingham Forest's performance.
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barnsley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.7%
6.5%
9.8%
Nottingham Forest - Barnsley Predictions
Users Predictions:
Nottingham Forest will win
(128 of 153 users predict this - 83.66%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.8% – 89.52%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 9 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Nottingham has the most likely position - 13 (8.31%), has project points - 62, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Barnsley has the most likely position - 24 (30.62%), has project points - 39, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (73%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Nottingham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Barnsley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Barnsley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Nottingham is a favorite.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
Watch
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