The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nottingham Forest 48.2%
Draw 30.1%
Derby County 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.1%
28.1%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.2%
22.5%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Nottingham Forest - Derby County Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Nottingham has the most likely position - 11 (9.3%), has project points - 64, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Derby has the most likely position - 24 (21.96%), has project points - 40, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (62%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Nottingham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Derby is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Nottingham is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.
Watch
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