Match Info

Date: 26 December 2021, Sunday


	Middlesbrough		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4.2
	1.95	3.4	4
	2	3.3	4.2
	1.92	3.25	4.1
	1.93	3.43	4.54
	1.95	3.2	4.2
	1.93	3.5	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.03)	3.35 ↓ (3.35)	4.21 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
49%

Draw
28.4%

Nottingham Forest
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.2%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

18.5%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Middlesbrough that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nottingham Forest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Middlesbrough - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 9 and 7).

Middlesbrough has the most likely position - 9 (8.4%), has project points - 67, has currently - 33, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (23%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nottingham has the most likely position - 10 (8.54%), has project points - 65, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Middlesbrough will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
18.12.21	Middlesbrough - Bournemouth	1:0 ✺
11.12.21	Stoke City - Middlesbrough	0:0 ✺
04.12.21	Middlesbrough - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
27.11.21	Huddersfield Town - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
23.11.21	Middlesbrough - Preston North End	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTWWL
- Nottingham Forest
English League Championship
18.12.21	Nottingham Forest - Hull City	2:1 ✺
11.12.21	Swansea City - Nottingham Forest	1:4 ✺
04.12.21	Nottingham Forest - Peterborough United	2:0 ✺
26.11.21	West Bromwich Albion - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
23.11.21	Nottingham Forest - Luton Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
15.09.21	Nottingham Forest - Middlesbrough	0:2
20.01.21	Nottingham Forest - Middlesbrough	1:2
31.10.20	Middlesbrough - Nottingham Forest	1:0
02.03.20	Middlesbrough - Nottingham Forest	2:2
10.12.19	Nottingham Forest - Middlesbrough	1:1
22.04.19	Nottingham Forest - Middlesbrough	3:0
06.10.18	Middlesbrough - Nottingham Forest	0:2

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