Match Info

Date: 11 February 2020, Tuesday


	Nottingham Forest		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.75	5.25
	1.62	3.9	5.75
	1.62	3.85	6.15
	1.6	3.75	5.32
	1.76	3.6	5.28
	1.65	3.8	5.5
	1.59	3.94	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.57)	3.8 ↓ (4.06)	5.53 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
57.8%

Draw
25%

Charlton Athletic
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

23.4%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

19.5%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.2%	10.3%	6.5%

Nottingham Forest - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: Nottingham Forest will win (89 of 107 users predict this - 83.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.09% – 90.27%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English League Championship
08.02.20	Nottingham Forest - Leeds United	2:0 ✺
01.02.20	Birmingham City - Nottingham Forest	2:1 ✺
28.01.20	Brentford - Nottingham Forest	0:1 ✺
22.01.20	Nottingham Forest - Reading	1:1 ✺
19.01.20	Nottingham Forest - Luton Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WLWTW
- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
08.02.20	Stoke City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
01.02.20	Charlton Athletic - Barnsley	2:1 ✺
22.01.20	Charlton Athletic - Fulham	0:0 ✺
18.01.20	Preston North End - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
11.01.20	Charlton Athletic - West Bromwich Albion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
21.08.19	Charlton Athletic - Nottingham Forest	1:1
02.01.16	Charlton Athletic - Nottingham Forest	1:1
18.08.15	Nottingham Forest - Charlton Athletic	0:0
03.03.15	Charlton Athletic - Nottingham Forest	2:1
06.12.14	Nottingham Forest - Charlton Athletic	1:1
25.03.14	Nottingham Forest - Charlton Athletic	0:1
01.10.13	Charlton Athletic - Nottingham Forest	1:1

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