Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Nottingham Forest		Reading

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.5
	1.52	4.2	6.25
	1.53	4.2	6.75
	1.48	4.2	6.4
	1.55	4.24	6.67
	1.47	4.2	6.5
	1.53	4.4	6.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.86)	4.25 ↑ (3.59)	6.49 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
63%

Draw
22.4%

Reading
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

26.4%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

17.3%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nottingham Forest's performance.

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reading might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-29.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nottingham Forest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+19.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reading could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nottingham Forest - Reading Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 21).

Nottingham has the most likely position - 8 (11.14%), has project points - 70, has currently - 52, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (29%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Reading has the most likely position - 21 (43.77%), has project points - 40, has currently - 29, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 39, importance 37, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 0.

Nottingham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Reading is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nottingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nottingham is certain favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English FA Cup
07.03.22	Nottingham Forest - Huddersfield Town	2:1 ✺
English League Championship
04.03.22	Sheffield United - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Nottingham Forest - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
22.02.22	Preston North End - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
12.02.22	Nottingham Forest - Stoke City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWTT
- Reading
English League Championship
05.03.22	Reading - Millwall	0:1 ✺
26.02.22	Blackpool - Reading	4:1 ✺
22.02.22	Reading - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	Preston North End - Reading	2:3 ✺
16.02.22	Peterborough United - Reading	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
20.11.21	Reading - Nottingham Forest	1:1
13.03.21	Nottingham Forest - Reading	1:1
05.12.20	Reading - Nottingham Forest	2:0
22.01.20	Nottingham Forest - Reading	1:1
11.01.20	Reading - Nottingham Forest	1:1
12.01.19	Reading - Nottingham Forest	2:0
11.08.18	Nottingham Forest - Reading	1:0

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