Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Nottingham Forest		Preston North End

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3.25
	2.3	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.29	3.05	3.25
	2.36	3.13	3.51
	2.25	3	3.4
	2.38	3.14	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.98)	3.13 ↓ (3.3)	3.36 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
41.3%

Draw
30.4%

Preston North End
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.4%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.3%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nottingham Forest's form might have worsened.

Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Preston North End, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nottingham Forest - Preston North End Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 17 and 15).

Nottingham has the most likely position - 19 (7.08%), has project points - 57, has currently - 19, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Preston has the most likely position - 12 (6.69%), has project points - 62, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Nottingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nottingham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English League Championship
02.11.21	Nottingham Forest - Sheffield United	1:1 ✺
29.10.21	Queens Park Rangers - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Nottingham Forest - Fulham	0:4 ✺
19.10.21	Bristol City - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Nottingham Forest - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTLWW
- Preston North End
English League Championship
03.11.21	Bournemouth - Preston North End	1:2 ✺
30.10.21	Preston North End - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
27.10.21	Preston North End - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
English League Championship
23.10.21	Blackpool - Preston North End	2:0 ✺
20.10.21	Preston North End - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
08.05.21	Nottingham Forest - Preston North End	1:2
02.01.21	Preston North End - Nottingham Forest	0:1
11.07.20	Preston North End - Nottingham Forest	1:1
31.08.19	Nottingham Forest - Preston North End	1:1
16.02.19	Preston North End - Nottingham Forest	0:0
08.12.18	Nottingham Forest - Preston North End	0:1
30.01.18	Nottingham Forest - Preston North End	0:3

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