Match Info

Date: 18 April 2022, Monday


	Nottingham Forest		West Bromwich Albion

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.5
	2.06	3.55	3.65
	2.11	3.25	3.45
	2.16	3.49	3.58
	2.1	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.14	3.5	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.96)	3.41 ↑ (3.3)	3.5 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
44.9%

Draw
27.9%

West Bromwich Albion
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.2%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

28%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	10.1%	11.6%

Nottingham Forest - West Bromwich Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: Nottingham Forest will win (54 of 69 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.53% – 87.99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs) and 11).

Nottingham has the most likely position - 3 (42.7%), has project points - 76, has currently - 67, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (86%), has a chance of promoted (34%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

West Bromwich has the most likely position - 12 (16.63%), has project points - 66, has currently - 60, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 50, small importance 22, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Nottingham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English League Championship
15.04.22	Luton Town - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Nottingham Forest - Birmingham City	2:0 ✺
06.04.22	Nottingham Forest - Coventry City	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Blackpool - Nottingham Forest	1:4 ✺
English FA Cup
20.03.22	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWL
- West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship
15.04.22	West Bromwich Albion - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	West Bromwich Albion - Stoke City	1:3 ✺
06.04.22	West Bromwich Albion - Bournemouth	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Birmingham City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	Bristol City - West Bromwich Albion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.11.21	West Bromwich Albion - Nottingham Forest	0:0
15.02.20	West Bromwich Albion - Nottingham Forest	2:2
03.08.19	Nottingham Forest - West Bromwich Albion	1:2
12.02.19	West Bromwich Albion - Nottingham Forest	2:2
07.08.18	Nottingham Forest - West Bromwich Albion	1:1
Club Friendly
02.08.14	Nottingham Forest - West Bromwich Albion	1:0
10.08.12	Nottingham Forest - West Bromwich Albion	N/A

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