Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN
Cameroon	CRTV
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport Arena
Malaysia	Astro
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 4
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium


	Luton Town		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.5
	2.65	3.5	2.5
	2.85	3.75	2.42
	2.77	3.67	2.58
	2.77	3.67	2.54
	2.6	3.7	2.55
	2.76	3.85	2.54	Watch
	2.68	3.6	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.59)	3.66 ↑ (3.61)	2.52 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
35.3%

Draw
26.4%

Nottingham Forest
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.4%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.1%	40%	22.9%

Luton Town - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 13 - 37.1%). Nottingham will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 56.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 16. Burke R. 15. Mengi T. 17. Mpanzu P. 12. Kabore I. 18. Clark J. 6. Barkley R. 45. Doughty A. 7. Ogbene C. 14. Chong T. 9. Morris C. (C)	26. Sels M. (G) 7. Williams N. 30. Boly W. 40. Murillo 15. Toffolo H. 22. Yates R. (C) 6. Sangare I. 21. Elanga A. 10. Gibbs-White M. 27. Origi D. 11. Wood Ch.
Substitutes
8. Berry L. 48. Dos Santos Martins D. 27. Hashioka D. 23. Krul T. (G) 43. Nelson Z. 44. Piesold A. 1. Shea J. (G) 30. Townsend A. 10. Woodrow C.	28. Danilo 16. Dominguez N. 18. Felipe 14. Hudson-Odoi C. 8. Kouyate C. 32. Omobamidele A. 20. Reyna G. 37. Ribeiro R. 1. Turner M. (G)
Coaches
Edwards R.	Espirito Santo N.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 2.

Luton has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nottingham is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Luton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Luton won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English Premier League
13.03.24	Bournemouth - Luton Town	4:3 ✺
09.03.24	Crystal Palace - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Luton Town - Aston Villa	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
27.02.24	Luton Town - Manchester City	2:6 ✺
English Premier League
21.02.24	Liverpool - Luton Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
10.03.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
28.02.24	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
24.02.24	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	4:2 ✺
17.02.24	Nottingham Forest - West Ham United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
21.10.23	Nottingham Forest - Luton Town	2:2
English League Championship
15.04.22	Luton Town - Nottingham Forest	1:0
23.11.21	Nottingham Forest - Luton Town	0:0
02.03.21	Nottingham Forest - Luton Town	0:1
28.10.20	Luton Town - Nottingham Forest	1:1
19.01.20	Nottingham Forest - Luton Town	3:1
02.11.19	Luton Town - Nottingham Forest	1:2

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