Match Info

League Two - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Meadow Lane (Nottingham)

Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Notts County		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.4	3.4	Watch
	1.93	3.4	3.75
	2.08	3.45	3.35	Watch
	2.09	3.51	3.56
	2.12	3.43	3.19	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.8
	2.05	3.48	3.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.87)	3.42 ↓ (3.51)	3.51 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
46.1%

Draw
27.3%

Fleetwood Town
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.6%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

25.9%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Notts County - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Notts County (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 1 - 50%). Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roos K. (G) 23. Aljofree S. 3. McDonald R. 4. Bedeau J. 2. Gordon K. 8. Norburn O. 18. Palmer M. (C) 25. Tsaroulla N. 14. Iorpenda T. 29. Jatta A. 19. Dennis M.	13. Lynch J. (G) 18. Holgate H. 4. Bolton J. 5. Potter F. 26. Rooney S. 10. Helm M. 6. Bonds E. (C) 3. Medley Z. 16. Ennis E. 9. Davies W. 7. Graydon R.
Substitutes
47. Bennetts K. 11. Grant C. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 26. Hall T. 28. Macari L. 20. Robertson S. 7. Traore M.	15. Davies J. 17. Evans C. 1. Harrington D. (G) 32. Hughes K. 44. Mullarkey T. 20. Neal H. 11. Norwood J.
Coaches
Paterson M.	Wild P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Rooney S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Dennis M. ⚽, Jatta A. (A),
52', Gordon K. 🟨,
53', Palmer M. 🟨,
61', Ennis E. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
66', Jatta A. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
73', Dennis M. 🟨,
75', Davies W. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
77', Dennis M. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
77', Iorpenda T. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
79', Potter F. 🟨,
84', Potter F. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
90+1', Graydon R. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Fleetwood: Coughlan R. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Notts County: Jarvis W. (Injury) Luker J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Fleetwood: Virtue-Thick M. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Notts County - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.94%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Lincoln City - Notts County	3:0 ✺
English League Two
30.08.25	Tranmere Rovers - Notts County	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Notts County - Bromley	2:2 ✺
20.08.25	Notts County - Shrewsbury Town	4:1 ✺
16.08.25	Barrow - Notts County	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTWL
- Fleetwood Town
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley	2:2 ✺
English League Two
30.08.25	Barrow - Fleetwood Town	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Fleetwood Town - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	Fleetwood Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:4 ✺
16.08.25	Bromley - Fleetwood Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
01.03.25	Fleetwood Town - Notts County	2:2
18.08.24	Notts County - Fleetwood Town	2:2
English League One
21.02.15	Fleetwood Town - Notts County	2:1
16.08.14	Notts County - Fleetwood Town	0:1
English League Cup
07.08.13	Notts County - Fleetwood Town	3:2

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