Match Info

EFL Trophy

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Rollason G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Lincoln City		Notts County

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.1	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.78	3.55	3.95	Watch
	1.85	3.57	4.15
	1.31	5.00	9.40	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4
	1.82	3.52	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.75)	3.7 ↑ (3.49)	4.81 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
54.8%

Draw
25.5%

Notts County
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

26.3%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

25.4%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	25%	41.7%

Lincoln City - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Notts County will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 1 - 20%). Notts County (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jeacock Z. (G) 4. Montsma L. 5. Jackson A. 15. Bradley S. (C) 3. Reach A. 18. House B. 25. Barbrook F. 12. Ring E. 19. Okoronkwo F. 34. Draper F. 11. Thorn O.	21. Griffiths H. (G) 23. Aljofree S. 12. Ness L. 28. Macari L. 47. Bennetts K. 20. Robertson S. (C) 6. Hinchy J. 36. Jarvis W. 11. Grant C. 26. Hall T. 7. Traore M.
Substitutes
9. Collins J. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 22. Hamer T. 14. McGrandles C. 21. Pardington J. (G) 17. Street R. 6. Towler R.	2. Gordon K. 14. Iorpenda T. 53. Iwunze H. 49. Muir K. 13. Perott M. (G) 5. Robinson T. 25. Tsaroulla N.
Coaches
Skubala M.	Paterson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Bradley S. ⚽, Reach A. (A),
43', House B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, House B. ⚽, Ring E. (A),
61', Reach A. ↓, Street R. ↑,
61', Draper F. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
61', Jackson A. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
61', Montsma L. ↓, Hamer T. ↑,
67', Traore M. ↓, Iwunze H. ↑,
68', Aljofree S. ↓, Robinson T. ↑,
68', Jarvis W. ↓, Muir K. ↑,
73', House B. ↓, McGrandles C. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Collins J. ⚽,
85', Thorn O. 🟨,
87', McGrandles C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 3.

Lincoln is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Notts County has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lincoln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lincoln is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
30.08.25	Lincoln City - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Burton Albion - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
English League One
23.08.25	Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	Northampton Town - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWTWW
- Notts County
English League Two
30.08.25	Tranmere Rovers - Notts County	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Notts County - Bromley	2:2 ✺
20.08.25	Notts County - Shrewsbury Town	4:1 ✺
16.08.25	Barrow - Notts County	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Wigan Athletic - Notts County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Lincoln City - Notts County	2:0
English League Cup
08.08.23	Notts County - Lincoln City	0:2
English League Two
02.02.19	Notts County - Lincoln City	1:1
25.08.18	Lincoln City - Notts County	3:1
13.01.18	Lincoln City - Notts County	2:2
English EFL Trophy
07.11.17	Lincoln City - Notts County	2:1
English League Two
23.09.17	Notts County - Lincoln City	4:1

Upcoming Matches