Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 8 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Meadow Lane (Nottingham)

Referee: Woods M. (Eng)


	Notts County		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.6
	2.05	3.6	3.5
	2	3.6	3.6
	1.99	3.73	3.62
	2.1	3.2	3
	1.98	3.66	3.58	Watch
	2.02	3.65	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.11)	3.58 ↑ (3.44)	3.48 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
46.6%

Draw
26.3%

Lincoln City
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27.2%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

26.7%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	5.9%	17.6%

Notts County - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Lincoln will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Slocombe S. (G) 2. Brindley R. 15. Baldwin A. 4. Cameron K. (C) 23. Chicksen A. 21. Adebayo-Rowling T. 24. Bajrami G. 6. O'Brien J. 8. Austin S. 7. Crowley D. 19. Scott C.	1. Jensen L. (G) 22. Eyoma T. 15. O'Connor P. (C) 23. Roughan S. 3. Brown J. 6. Erhahon E. 8. Smith A. 2. Sorensen L. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 14. Mandroiu D. 19. Walker T.
Substitutes
16. Bostock J. 10. Jones J. 9. Langstaff M. 27. Morias J. 11. Nemane A. 5. Rawlinson C. 33. Tipton O.	20. Benn J. 17. Duffy D. 26. Gallagher O. 11. Hamilton E. 18. House B. 27. Makama J. 12. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Williams L.	Kennedy M.

Preview

Notts County is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lincoln is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Notts County will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English League Two
05.08.23	Sutton United - Notts County	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Shrewsbury Town - Notts County	1:1 ✺
25.07.23	Alfreton Town - Notts County	0:5 ✺
22.07.23	Boston United - Notts County	0:1 ✺
18.07.23	AFC Telford United - Notts County	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWWW
- Lincoln City
English League One
05.08.23	Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Lincoln City - Rotherham United	0:3 ✺
25.07.23	Grimsby Town - Lincoln City	2:0 ✺
22.07.23	Crewe Alexandra - Lincoln City	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Boston United - Lincoln City	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
02.02.19	Notts County - Lincoln City	1:1
25.08.18	Lincoln City - Notts County	3:1
13.01.18	Lincoln City - Notts County	2:2
English EFL Trophy
07.11.17	Lincoln City - Notts County	2:1
English League Two
23.09.17	Notts County - Lincoln City	4:1

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