Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 32

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nueva Chicago (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...


	Nueva Chicago		Deportivo Maipú

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.75	3.20	Watch
	2.37	2.80	3.10
	2.25	2.85	3.15	Watch
	2.58	2.81	3.33
	2.53	2.78	3.24	Watch
	2.50	2.75	3.25
	2.38	2.69	3.19	Watch
	2.36	2.80	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.24)	2.78 ↓ (2.96)	3.2 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nueva Chicago
38.1%

Draw
33.2%

Deportivo Maipú
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

31.5%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

30.5%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Maipú Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Masuero F. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Gissi D. 5. Mendez E. (C) 6. Paz G. 3. Arroyo D. 7. Ocampo T. 8. Rodriguez T. 10. Ambrogio L. 11. Gonzalez A. 9. Vega G.	1. Galardi N. (G) 4. Faggioli L. 2. Paulini S. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 3. Fernandez N. 11. Bonfigli M. 8. Perez E. 5. Gobetto J. 7. Saccone F. 9. Viguet M. 10. Silva T.
Substitutes
16. Cardozo E. 19. Cocimano S. 13. Ferracutti G. 12. Jachfe L. (G) 18. Perez M. 20. Rogoski M. 15. Roldan E. 17. Ruiz A. 14. Zalazar R. E.	20. Cabrera L. 14. de la Reta J. 13. Ferreyra T. 19. Giacone J. 17. Orosco B. 15. Ortale M. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 16. Vera J. 18. Yavante Gaitan D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Paz G. ↓, Ferracutti G. ↑,
29', Vega G. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
30', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
42', Perez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
46', Arroyo D. ↓, Roldan E. ↑,
50', Aguero Gimenez A. R. 🟨,
54', Fernandez N. ↓, de la Reta J. ↑,
55', Viguet M. ↓, Giacone J. ↑,
61', Roldan E. 🟨,
68', Silva T. ↓, Orosco B. ↑,
73', Rodriguez T. 🟨,
79', 0 - 1, Gobetto J. ⚽,
80', Saccone F. 🟨,
81', Ambrogio L. ↓, Cocimano S. ↑,
88', Gobetto J. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 13th and 8th in the Promotion - Primera Nacional Promotion - Playoffs).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Deportivo Maipú could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Nueva Chicago holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Nueva Chicago has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 0.8:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nueva Chicago against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Nueva Chicago - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.66%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Deportivo Maipú - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.82%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.09.26	Club Almagro - Nueva Chicago	0:1 ✺
21.09.26	Nueva Chicago - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Colegiales - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Nueva Chicago - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Nueva Chicago	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLWL
- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.09.26	Deportivo Maipú - Temperley	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Deportivo Maipú - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Club Almagro - Deportivo Maipú	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Maipú - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Colegiales - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.05.26	Deportivo Maipú - Nueva Chicago	1:0
25.09.22	Deportivo Maipú - Nueva Chicago	1:0
11.10.21	Deportivo Maipú - Nueva Chicago	0:2
17.06.21	Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Maipú	1:2

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