Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Numancia		Real Ávila

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.05	3.55
	1.95	3.02	4.07
	1.93	3.26	3.8	Watch
	1.94	3	3.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.89)	3.08 ↓ (3.29)	3.85 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
46.8%

Draw
29.6%

Real Ávila
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

27.5%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

28.8%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Numancia - Real Ávila Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Gil A. ⚽,
60', 1 - 1, Runy ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Gutierrez C. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Numancia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Real Ávila is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Numancia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Numancia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Including home match between the teams, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Numancia - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 47.94%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.04.26	Real Oviedo B - Numancia	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Numancia - Sarriana	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Coruxo - Numancia	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Numancia - Atlético Astorga	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Valladolid B - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTTLT
- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.04.26	Real Ávila - Langreo	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Sámano - Real Ávila	0:4 ✺
21.03.26	Real Ávila - Marino de Luanco	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Real Oviedo B - Real Ávila	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Real Ávila - Sarriana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Real Ávila - Numancia	0:0
13.04.25	Numancia - Real Ávila	2:0
30.11.24	Real Ávila - Numancia	0:0

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