Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 30

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro)

Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Catanzaro		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.1	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.5
	2.04	3.15	3.8	Watch
	2.14	3.22	3.92
	1.98	3.14	4.15	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.6
	1.97	3.23	4.14	Watch
	2.04	3.15	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.07)	3.16 ↓ (3.27)	3.88 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
46%

Draw
29.8%

Nuova Cosenza
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.8%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

27.9%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	20%	13.3%

Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Cosenza will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 23. Brighenti N. 14. Scognamillo S. 6. Bonini F. 92. Situm M. 21. Pompetti M. 10. Petriccione J. 20. Pontisso S. 3. Quagliata G. 28. Biasci T. 9. Iemmello P. (C)	1. Micai A. (G) 23. Venturi M. 15. Dalle Mura C. 17. Caporale A. 5. Gargiulo M. 19. Ciervo R. 28. Kouan C. 7. Garritano L. 11. D'Orazio T. (C) 30. Mazzocchi S. 10. Fumagalli T.
Substitutes
99. Borrelli E. (G) 45. Buso N. 84. Cassandro T. 7. Compagnon M. 82. Corradi C. 80. Coulibaly M. 25. Gelmi L. (G) 8. Ilie R. 61. Maiolo F. 4. Matias Antonini 90. Pittarello F. 29. Seck D.	6. Charlys 2. Cimino B. 18. Cruz J. M. 34. Florenzi A. 55. Hristov A. 39. Kourfalidis C. 16. Ricciardi M. 31. Ricci G. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 29. Sgarbi F. 22. Vettorel T. (G) 21. Zilli M.
Coaches
Caserta F.	Tortelli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Iemmello P. ⚽, Situm M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Pontisso S. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Pompetti M. ⚽, Ilie R. (A),
48', D'Orazio T. 🟨,
53', D'Orazio T. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
54', 3 - 0, Bonini F. ⚽, Ilie R. (A),
57', Petriccione J. 🟨,
59', Biasci T. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
64', Petriccione J. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
68', Fumagalli T. ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
68', Kouan C. ↓, Kourfalidis C. ↑,
68', 4 - 0, Coulibaly M. ⚽, Bonini F. (A),
81', Bonini F. ↓, Matias Antonini ↑,
81', Situm M. ↓, Cassandro T. ↑,
84', Garritano L. ↓, Charlys ↑,
84', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Cruz J. M. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Catanzaro will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Catanzaro: D'Alessandro M. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
08.03.25	Cremonese - Catanzaro	4:0 ✺
02.03.25	Catanzaro - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Spezia - Catanzaro	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Catanzaro - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Frosinone - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LTWWT
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
07.03.25	Nuova Cosenza - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Modena - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Nuova Cosenza - Palermo	0:3 ✺
16.02.25	Juve Stabia - Nuova Cosenza	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Nuova Cosenza - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.12.24	Nuova Cosenza - Catanzaro	1:1
03.03.24	Nuova Cosenza - Catanzaro	0:2
26.11.23	Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
08.04.18	Nuova Cosenza - Catanzaro	0:0
19.11.17	Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza	2:1
22.12.16	Nuova Cosenza - Catanzaro	1:1
28.08.16	Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza	0:3

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