Match Info

Serie B - Round 34

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Spezia		Mantova

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3.1	Watch
	2.36	3.11	3.46
	2.25	3.24	3.22	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.9
	2.34	3.05	3.21	Watch
	2.04	3.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.04)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spezia
41.3%

Draw
29.3%

Mantova
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

27.5%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

28.1%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Spezia - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Mantova will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mascardi D. (G) 37. Mateju A. 55. Hristov P. (C) 4. Ruggero M. 11. Beruatto P. 34. Comotto C. 60. Romano A. 25. Bandinelli F. 31. Aurelio G. 20. Di Serio G. 9. Artistico G.	24. Bardi F. (G) 3. Dembele A. 27. Castellini A. 29. Cella S. 96. Maggioni T. 21. Trimboli S. 80. Kouda R. 50. Benaissa-Yahia F. 30. Bragantini D. 19. Ruocco F. 7. Mensah D. (C)
Substitutes
6. Bellemo A. 24. Bertoncini A. 10. Lapadula G. 77. Lorenzelli E. 16. Loria L. (G) 8. Nagy A. 22. Radunovic B. (G) 17. Sernicola L. 19. Shagaxle H. 32. Vignali L. 99. Vlahovic V.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 77. Buso N. 28. Caprini M. 18. Falletti C. 20. Ligue J. 9. Mancuso L. 33. Marai C. 23. Marras T. 34. Vukovic A. (G) 10. Wieser D. 98. Zuccon F.
Coaches
D'Angelo L.	Modesto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Romano A. 🟨,
26', Mensah D. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
28', Dembele A. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Bragantini D. ⚽, Maggioni T. (A),
45+3', Trimboli S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mascardi D. ↓, Radunovic B. ↑,
46', Di Serio G. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
46', Aurelio G. ↓, Sernicola L. ↑,
49', Bandinelli F. 🟨,
56', Comotto C. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
71', Bragantini D. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
71', Ruocco F. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Buso N. ⚽, Trimboli S. (A),
74', Artistico G. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
79', Kouda R. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Spezia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mantova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Spezia might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Spezia: Adamo E. (Red Card) Bonfanti G. (Red Card) Cassata F. (Muscle Injury) Sarr M. (Ankle Injury) Skjellerup L. (Inactive) Valoti M. (Red Card) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Mantova: Bonfanti N. (Ankle Injury) Meroni A. (Inactive) Paoletti F. (Yellow Cards) Radaelli N. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Mantova: Mancuso L. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Spezia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Mantova: 2.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10:5	5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
06.04.26	Carrarese - Spezia	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Juve Stabia - Spezia	3:1 ✺
17.03.26	Spezia - Empoli	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Modena - Spezia	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Spezia - Monza	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTLW
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
06.04.26	Mantova - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Modena - Mantova	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Mantova - Cesena	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Empoli - Mantova	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Mantova - Juve Stabia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
23.11.25	Mantova - Spezia	4:1
13.04.25	Mantova - Spezia	2:2
26.12.24	Spezia - Mantova	1:1

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