The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reggina 48.2%
Draw 29.3%
Perugia 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
28.3%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
27.8%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
4.8%
11.9%
Reggina - Perugia Predictions
Users Predictions:
Reggina will win
(35 of 42 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.06% โ 94.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 5 (8.26%), has project points - 58, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
Perugia has the most likely position - 20 (22.8%), has project points - 37, has currently - 4, has a good chance of relegated (62%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality29, importance37, match rating33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Reggio Calabria is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Perugia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Reggio Calabria is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Reggio Calabria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Italy
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