Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 30

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Pisa		Mantova

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	6	Watch
	1.55	3.8	6.25
	1.54	3.95	6	Watch
	1.67	3.85	5.65
	1.54	3.85	6.4	Watch
	1.65	3.7	5
	1.56	4.01	6.02	Watch
	1.54	3.95	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.65)	3.89 ↑ (3.81)	5.92 ↑ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
59.8%

Draw
24.2%

Mantova
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.7%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

19%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pisa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mantova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Pisa - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Mantova will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pisa: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Semper A. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 94. Bonfanti G. 15. Toure I. 36. Piccinini G. 6. Marin M. 3. Angori S. 80. Morutan O. 11. Tramoni M. 45. Lind A.	1. Festa M. (G) 27. Maggioni T. 5. Redolfi A. 4. Solini M. 17. Radaelli N. 21. Trimboli S. 36. Paoletti F. 26. Giordano S. 10. Wieser D. 19. Mancuso L. 7. Mensah D. (C)
Substitutes
28. Abildgaard O. 30. Arena A. 33. Calabresi A. 27. Castellini A. 8. Hojholt M. 22. Loria L. (G) 14. Meister H. 32. Moreo S. 1. Nicolas Andrade (G) 17. Rus A. 66. Sernicola L. 21. Solbakken M.	70. Aramu M. 24. Artioli F. 6. Bani C. 16. Botti F. (G) 30. Bragantini D. 9. Debenedetti A. 87. De Maio S. 20. Fedel G. 11. Fiori A. 28. Muroni M. 18. Ruocco F. 12. Sonzogni L. (G)
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Possanzini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Caracciolo Ant. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Tramoni M. ⚽,
15', Wieser D. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Mancuso L. ⚽, Radaelli N. (A),
28', Angori S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Angori S. ↓, Sernicola L. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Caracciolo Ant. ⚽, Morutan O. (A),
61', Giordano S. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Tramoni M. ⚽, Piccinini G. (A),
67', Piccinini G. ↓, Hojholt M. ↑,
71', Mensah D. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
72', Wieser D. ↓, Aramu M. ↑,
76', Bonfanti G. ↓, Rus A. ↑,
76', Morutan O. ↓, Moreo S. ↑,
85', Solini M. ↓, Bani C. ↑,
85', Mancuso L. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
86', Paoletti F. 🟥,
90', Toure I. ↓, Calabresi A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Pisa is a favorite.

There will not play in Pisa: Esteves T. (Tendon Injury) Leris M. (Injury) Moreo S. (Inactive) Vignato E. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Mantova: Brignani F. (Inactive) Muroni M. (Injury) Ruocco F. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pisa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
09.03.25	Spezia - Pisa	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Sassuolo - Pisa	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Pisa - Juve Stabia	3:1 ✺
16.02.25	Cesena - Pisa	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Pisa - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWTL
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
08.03.25	Mantova - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Frosinone - Mantova	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Mantova - Bari	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Palermo - Mantova	2:2 ✺
08.02.25	Mantova - Sassuolo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
07.12.24	Mantova - Pisa	2:3

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