Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 13

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Spezia		Ternana

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.9
	1.9	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.96	3.4	4.52
	1.95	3.38	4.53
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.85	3.6	4.1	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.75)	3.46 ↑ (2.9)	4.14 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spezia
49.9%

Draw
27.3%

Ternana
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.7%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.5%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Spezia - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Ternana will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Dragowski B. (G) 27. Amian K. 23. Muhl L. 77. Bertola N. 36. Candelari P. 29. Cassata F. 10. Esposito Sa. 13. Reca A. 80. Kouda R. 9. Esposito F. 48. Antonucci M.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 23. Diakite S. 19. Capuano M. 44. Lucchesi L. 15. Casasola T. 25. Labojko J. 66. Pyyhtia N. 91. Corrado N. 10. Falletti C. (C) 9. Raimondo A. 17. Favilli A.
Substitutes
11. Cipot T. 21. Corradini G. 8. Ekdal A. 7. Elia S. 33. Gelashvili I. 19. Krollis R. 24. Moro L. 4. Moutinho J. 15. Pietra N. 5. Serpe L. 99. Verde D. 1. Zoet J. (G)	3. Celli A. 8. de Boer K. 65. Dionisi F. 28. Di Stefano F. 27. Favasuli C. 77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 71. Luperini G. 13. Mantovani V. 73. Marginean I. 4. Sorensen F. 33. Travaglini C. 24. Viviani F.
Coaches
Alvini M.	Breda R.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

Ternana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Spezia have a series of guest games.

In this match Spezia is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Spezia won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
08.11.23	Lecco - Spezia	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Cremonese - Spezia	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.11.23	Sassuolo - Spezia	1:0 penalties ✺
Italian Serie B
28.10.23	Spezia - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
23.10.23	Palermo - Spezia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLTT
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
04.11.23	Ternana - Venezia	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Modena - Ternana	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Ternana - Brescia	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Cittadella - Ternana	2:2 ✺
30.09.23	Ternana - Reggiana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.03.18	Spezia - Ternana	1:1
14.10.17	Ternana - Spezia	4:2
04.02.17	Spezia - Ternana	2:0
11.09.16	Ternana - Spezia	1:1
27.02.16	Ternana - Spezia	1:2
11.10.15	Spezia - Ternana	1:0
11.04.15	Spezia - Ternana	0:1

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