Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Final

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio El Teniente (Rancagua)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Brazil	Globo Esporte, Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Colombia	ESPN 2
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	OHiggins		Deportes Tolima

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.9	Watch
	2.48	2.98	2.98	Watch
	2.54	3.03	3.07
	2.68	3.05	2.84	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.9
	2.58	3.16	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.3)	3.02 ↓ (3.25)	2.96 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OHiggins
37.1%

Draw
31.1%

Deportes Tolima
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

28.6%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.6%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

OHiggins - Deportes Tolima Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. OHiggins will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Deportes Tolima (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Deportes Tolima (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Deportes Tolima (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Carabali O. (G) 3. Faundez F. 22. Robledo A. (C) 33. Brizuela M. 6. Pavez L. 8. Felipe Ogaz 11. Leiva J. 24. Gonzalez F. 10. Rabello B. 7. Martin Sarrafiore 9. Castillo A.	1. Neto Volpi (G) 17. Arrieta C. 3. Angulo J. 2. Angulo A. (C) 20. Hernandez J. 7. Gonzalez J. 80. Rovira B. 32. Guzman S. 28. Lopez E. 9. Sandoval L. 24. Parra Osorio A.
Substitutes
16. Calderon E. 20. Diaz L. 21. Garrido N. 26. Godoy R. 2. Morales C. 1. Pena Jorge (G) 5. Pinto G. 15. Rojas B. 28. Schamine B. 30. Tapia J. 32. Vecino T. 29. Yanez B.	30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 18. Florez K. 22. Marquinez L. (G) 27. Martinez M. 5. Mera J. 31. Moreno Y. 15. Nieto J. 10. Torres Patino J. P. 11. Valencia J.
Coaches
Bovaglio L.	Gonzalez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Lopez E. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
37', Florez K. 🟥,
43', Robledo A. ↓, Garrido N. ↑,
45+5', Felipe Ogaz 🟨,
45+5', Sandoval L. 🟨,
45+8', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. ⚽, Pavez L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sandoval L. ↓, Barbosa Gomez S. P. ↑,
46', Hernandez J. ↓, Mera J. ↑,
58', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
75', Rabello B. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
82', Felipe Ogaz 🟨,
84', Arrieta C. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
87', Gonzalez F. ↓, Tapia J. ↑,
87', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
87', Castillo A. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
90+6', Barbosa Gomez S. P. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Deportes Tolima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

OHiggins is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Deportes Tolima: 0.62%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OHiggins
Chilean Primera Division
28.02.26	Palestino - OHiggins	4:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.02.26	Bahia - OHiggins	2:2 penalties ✺
Chilean Primera Division
21.02.26	OHiggins - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.02.26	OHiggins - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.02.26	Deportes Limache - OHiggins	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLWL
- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
01.03.26	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.02.26	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Táchira	1:1 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
23.02.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportes Tolima	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.02.26	Deportivo Táchira - Deportes Tolima	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
15.02.26	Deportes Tolima - Once Caldas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLWW

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