Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park (Albuquerque, NM)

Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	New Mexico United		Rhode Island

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.3	3
	2.12	3.4	3
	2.41	3.30	2.79	Watch
	2.26	3.3	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.41)	3.33 ↑ (3.32)	2.95 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Mexico United
41.1%

Draw
27.7%

Rhode Island
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28.1%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Rhode Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

New Mexico United - Rhode Island Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Shakes K. (G) 12. Maples T. 4. Keller K. 22. Ryden K. 3. Gloster C. 19. Bailey Z. 6. Zelalem G. 11. Akale M. 21. Noel V. 5. Harris D. 25. Bruce D.	1. Koke Vegas (G) 4. Bacharach Capdevila H. 6. Mabika A. 32. Diop H. 15. Nodarse F. 23. Ybarra M. 12. Holstad C. 3. Sanchez A. 17. Kwizera J. 11. Fuson N. 10. Dikwa A.
Substitutes
29. Archimede L. 79. Hofmann K. 17. Hurst G. 15. Jabang O. 24. Lindsey J. 7. Rivas S. 16. Seymore W. 1. Tambakis A. (G)	20. Herivaux Z. 22. Lee J. (G) 27. Ndongo M. 21. Rodriguez M. 2. Rovira D. 9. Williams J. 24. Yao K.
Coaches
Sanchez D.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', Bruce D. ↓, Hurst G. ↑,
27', 1 - 0, Akale M. ⚽, Noel V. (A),
35', Dikwa A. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Bacharach Capdevila H. ⚽, Mabika A. (A),
41', Ybarra M. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Maples T. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ybarra M. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
60', Bailey Z. ↓, Jabang O. ↑,
60', Mabika A. ↓, Herivaux Z. ↑,
60', Dikwa A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
61', Harris D. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
77', Hurst G. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
77', Noel V. ↓, Lindsey J. ↑,
77', Nodarse F. ↓, Rovira D. ↑,
77', Kwizera J. ↓, Rovira D. ↑,
82', Williams J. 🟨,

Preview

New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Rhode Island - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.34%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Mexico United
USL Championship
19.10.25	New Mexico United - Oakland Roots	3:3 ✺
11.10.25	New Mexico United - Orange County SC	3:3 ✺
04.10.25	Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	New Mexico United - Lexington	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - New Mexico United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTWWW
- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
18.10.25	North Carolina - Rhode Island	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Rhode Island - Tampa Bay Rowdies	5:0 ✺
05.10.25	Rhode Island - Las Vegas Lights	3:1 ✺
26.09.25	El Paso Locomotive - Rhode Island	2:2 ✺
19.09.25	Miami - Rhode Island	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWWTW

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