The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oldham Athletic 38.2%
Draw 31%
Gillingham 30.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
30.3%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
31.9%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
44.4%
55.6%
Oldham Athletic - Gillingham Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 23.1% – 88.1%.
1. Hudson M. (G) 16. Sutton W. 5. Daniels D. 6. Monthe M. 24. Robson J. 19. Hannant L. 8. Woods R. 10. Conlon T. (C) 15. Drummond K. 23. Harratt K. 17. Quigley J.
1. Morris G. (G) 5. Smith A. 14. McKenzie R. 30. Gale S. 2. Hutton R. 6. Coleman E. 8. Little A. (C) 3. Clark M. 23. Dack B. 9. Andrews J. 20. Nevitt E.
Substitutes
20. Caprice J. 31. Donaghy T. (G) 27. Hammond O. 21. Hawkes J. 29. Kay J. 22. Olson C. 30. Waters B.
33. Beszant C. 32. Cirino L. 17. Gbode J. 11. Rowe A. 25. Turner J. (G) 19. Vokes S. 18. Wyllie M.
Coaches
Mellon M.
Ainsworth G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Quigley J. 🟨,
20', Hannant L. 🟨,
24', Dack B. 🟨,
28', Woods R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Gale S. 🟨,
57', Harratt K. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
63', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
66', Nevitt E. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
66', Dack B. ↓, Beszant C. ↑,
67', Hutton R. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
68', Hannant L. ↓, Hammond O. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Vokes S. ⚽, Clark M. (A),
79', Gbode J. 🟨,
84', Sutton W. ↓, Caprice J. ↑,
89', Robson J. 🟨,
90+1', Monthe M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 3.
Oldham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Gillingham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Oldham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Gillingham has had a series of home games.
Oldham will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C.
(Calf Injury)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Oldham: Morris K.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Ogie S.
(Inactive)
Palmer-Houlden S.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Gillingham - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.97%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Hudson M. (G) 
Daniels D. 
Monthe M. 
Robson J. 
Quigley J. 
Hammond O. 
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