Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 36

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Boundary Park (Oldham)


	Oldham Athletic		Kidderminster Harriers

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.75
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	2.05	3.25	3.6
	2.08	3.15	3.4
	2.1	3.27	3.8
	2.06	3.16	3.62
	1.95	3.15	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.72)	3.18 ↓ (3.66)	3.61 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldham Athletic
45.3%

Draw
29%

Kidderminster Harriers
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

25.2%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.2%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oldham Athletic's form might have worsened.

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Oldham Athletic - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions

Users Predictions: Oldham Athletic will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hudson M. (G) 32. Conlon T. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 24. Garner J. 26. Hammond O. 5. Hobson S. 4. Hogan L. (C) 3. Kitching M. 8. Lundstram J. 16. Raglan C. 14. Sheron N.	21. Dibble C. (G) 19. Bellis S. 14. Brown Z. 23. Byrne S. (C) 10. Hemmings A. 11. Lambert J. 6. McNally R. 9. Morgan-Smith A. 5. Pearce K. 2. Penny A. 3. Richards C.
Substitutes
29. Dallas A. 19. Gardner D. 15. Green D. 17. McGahey H. 1. Norman M. (G)	. Emmanuel-Thomas J. 24. Griffiths R. 26. Hesketh O. 27. Omotayo G. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Oldham will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Oldham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oldham Athletic
English National League
20.02.24	York City - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Maidenhead United - Oldham Athletic	1:3 ✺
13.02.24	Oldham Athletic - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Ebbsfleet United - Oldham Athletic	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Oldham Athletic - Woking	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWTL
- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
20.02.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Gateshead	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Dorking Wanderers	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.02.24	Peterborough Sports - Kidderminster Harriers	1:0 ✺
English National League
03.02.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Oxford City	3:2 ✺
27.01.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.09.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Oldham Athletic	1:2
English FA Cup
03.11.12	Kidderminster Harriers - Oldham Athletic	0:2

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