Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Manuel Ferreira (Asunción)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)


	Olimpia Asuncion		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	6.5	Watch
	1.55	4	5.75
	1.52	4	7
	1.61	3.89	6.27
	1.52	3.6	6
	1.55	4.05	6.05	Watch
	1.55	3.9	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.42)	3.92 ↓ (4.23)	6.17 ↓ (7.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Asuncion
60.7%

Draw
24%

Patronato Parana
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

21.9%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

21%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Olimpia Asuncion - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Patronato will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

Patronato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Olimpia is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.04.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	0:1 ✺
12.04.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
09.04.23	Resistencia - Olimpia Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.04.23	FBC Melgar - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.03.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWTL
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.04.23	Patronato Parana - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.04.23	Patronato Parana - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.04.23	Deportivo Morón - Patronato Parana	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Patronato Parana - Güemes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLWL

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