Match Info

Division 2 - Round 31

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Grudziądzu (Grudziądz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Olimpia Grudziądz		Skra Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	5.75
	1.24	5.2	10
	1.3	5.2	9.3
	1.31	5.11	9.59	Watch
	1.33	4.4	8
	1.22	5.3	10.9	Watch
	1.24	5.2	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.49)	4.89 ↑ (4)	9.08 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Grudziądz
70.9%

Draw
18.9%

Skra Częstochowa
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

22.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

21.9%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Grudziądz's performance.

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Skra Częstochowa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Grudziądz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Skra Częstochowa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Skra Częstochowa (4.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Skra Częstochowa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gorski K. (G) 10. Cichon K. 93. Ciupa I. 7. Kaczmarek T. 77. Kobryn R. 72. Koperski F. 4. Kostkowski D. 9. Mas M. 29. Rychert K. 26. Sewerzynski O. 6. Sikorski O.	99. Warszakowski B. (G) 77. Kolodziejczyk P. 18. Lesniak-Paduch N. 3. Majewski R. 16. Niedbala J. 7. Nocon P. 97. Okusami J. 26. Sobczak K. 13. Waclawek B. 98. Wirenski J. 8. Wrobel M.
Substitutes
21. Bonikowski J. 33. Budchan E. (G) 20. Chmarek M. 14. Gutowski K. 8. Guzdek B. 3. Klimczak A. 15. Koncewicz-Zylka P. 2. Maruszak I. 17. Wojcik F.	10. Garcia B. 19. Kaczmar M. 1. Kramarz F. (G) 5. Owczarek P. 37. Rogala K. 53. Szywacz W. 11. Tomzik K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Sobczak K. ⚽,
40', Ciupa I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kaczmarek T. ↓, Gutowski K. ↑,
51', 🟨,
54', 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Koperski F. ⚽,
65', Koperski F. 🟨,
71', 2 - 1, Rychert K. ⚽,
84', Rychert K. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 1.

Olimpia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Skra Częstochowa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Olimpia is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
10.05.25	Swit Skolwin - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:1 ✺
03.05.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWLWT
- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 2
09.05.25	Skra Częstochowa - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Skra Częstochowa - Wieczysta Kraków	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	Wisła Puławy - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Polonia Bytom - Skra Częstochowa	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
19.10.24	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:1
15.03.24	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:0
02.09.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa	0:0
15.05.21	Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa	2:0
22.11.20	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Grudziądz	4:0
02.03.19	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:4
17.08.18	Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa	4:0

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