Match Info

Date: 22 July 2021, Thursday


	Olimpija Ljubljana		Birkirkara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.3	4.2	9.5	Watch
	1.3	4.5	10
	1.29	4.6	8
	1.26	4.35	10.75
	1.29	4.2	9.5
	1.29	5.05	9.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.37)	4.48 ↓ (4.58)	9.54 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpija Ljubljana
70.3%

Draw
20.2%

Birkirkara
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

20%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

12.5%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Birkirkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-28.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpija Ljubljana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birkirkara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olimpija Ljubljana - Birkirkara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Olimpija is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Birkirkara is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Birkirkara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Olimpija is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Club Friendly
04.07.21	Olimpija Ljubljana - Čukarički	1:2 ✺
29.06.21	Borac Banja Luka - Olimpija Ljubljana	Canceled ✺
26.06.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Olimpija Ljubljana	6:1 ✺
21.06.21	Olimpija Ljubljana - Neftchi Baku	1:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
25.05.21	Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 L?LTW
- Birkirkara FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.07.21	La Fiorita - Birkirkara	1:1 ✺
08.07.21	Birkirkara - La Fiorita	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.21	Birkirkara - Mosta	2:1 ✺
26.06.21	Gżira United - Birkirkara	3:0 ✺
14.06.21	Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWLW

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