Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion Stožice (Ljubljana)

Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3, Moja TV
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Slovakia	Kanal A


	Olimpija Ljubljana		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.7
	2.55	3.2	2.75
	2.69	3.11	2.81
	2.61	3.18	2.72	Watch
	2.68	3.22	2.84	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.67)	3.16 ↓ (3.19)	2.76 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpija Ljubljana
36.4%

Draw
29.7%

Rijeka
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.5%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.6%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Olimpija Ljubljana - Rijeka Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Olimpija will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Rijeka will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 13.8% – 61.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Vidovsek M. (G) 2. Silva J. 14. Ratnik M. (C) 17. Muhamedbegovic A. 3. Sualehe D. 30. Florucz R. 34. Doffo A. 88. Thalisson 6. Agba P. 37. Schwaizer P. L. 9. Kojic D.	13. Zlomislic M. (G) 28. Smolcic I. (C) 5. Galesic N. 6. Radeljic S. 34. Devetak M. 25. Hodza V. 8. Petrovic D. 10. Fruk T. 87. Pasalic M. 11. Ivanovic F. 4. Jankovic N.
Substitutes
24. Boultam R. 18. Brest M. 28. Caciel B. 19. Durdov I. 36. Fink G. (G) 8. Lasickas J. 4. Motika N. 20. Motika N. 21. Pedreno M. 23. Pinto D. 22. Pintol D. (G) 15. Ristic M.	9. Andric K. 29. Babic A. 12. Banda E. 30. Bogojevic B. 27. Butic S. 32. Cabraja M. 7. Djouahra N. 21. Ilinkovic S. 45. Majstorovic A. 1. Posavec J. (G) 41. Rukavina G. 18. Selahi L.
Coaches
Sanchez V.	Raic-Sudar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Schwaizer P. L. ⚽,
8', Jankovic N. 🟨,
10', Thalisson 🟨,
13', 2 - 0, Thalisson ⚽, Schwaizer P. L. (A),
35', 3 - 0, Kojic D. ⚽,
38', Radeljic S. 🟨,
45', 4 - 0, Thalisson ⚽, Kojic D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Radeljic S. ↓, Majstorovic A. ↑,
46', Devetak M. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
46', Hodza V. ↓, Selahi L. ↑,
46', Kojic D. ↓, Brest M. ↑,
46', Fruk T. ↓, Djouahra N. ↑,
47', 5 - 0, Schwaizer P. L. ⚽,
52', Petrovic D. 🟨,
54', Florucz R. 🟨,
55', Florucz R. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
55', Schwaizer P. L. ↓, Durdov I. ↑,
66', Sualehe D. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
74', Ivanovic F. ↓, Andric K. ↑,
74', Muhamedbegovic A. ↓, Ristic M. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Olimpija have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Olimpija won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpija won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenian PrvaLiga
25.08.24	Maribor - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Rijeka - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
18.08.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Celje	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Sheriff Tiraspol - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
11.08.24	Domžale - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTTWT
- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
25.08.24	Osijek - Rijeka	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Rijeka - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
18.08.24	Rijeka - Istra 1961	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Elfsborg - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
11.08.24	Varaždin - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Rijeka - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:1
Club Friendly
08.10.21	Rijeka - Olimpija Ljubljana	6:1
25.01.20	Rijeka - Olimpija Ljubljana	4:2
22.06.13	Olimpija Ljubljana - Rijeka	0:4

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