Match Info

Date: 21 March 2021, Sunday


	Oliveirense		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.2	1.85
	3.9	3.1	1.91
	3.95	3.05	1.9
	4.3	3.1	1.91
	4.55	3.3	1.95
	4.33	3.1	1.95
	4.42	3.36	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (3.96)	3.17 ↑ (3.07)	1.9 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
21.7%

Draw
29.3%

Académica Coimbra
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

30.1%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

23.3%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Académica Coimbra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	8.3%	80.6%

Oliveirense - Académica Coimbra Predictions

Users Predictions: Académica Coimbra will win (29 of 36 users predict this - 80.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 93.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion to Primeira Liga (Promotion)).

Oliveirense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Académica is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Académica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Académica is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Oliveirense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
16.03.21	Covilhã - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Oliveirense - Chaves	0:1 ✺
03.03.21	Penafiel - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
28.02.21	Casa Pia - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
23.02.21	Oliveirense - Vilafranquense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
13.03.21	Académica Coimbra - Vizela	1:3 ✺
07.03.21	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	1:2 ✺
01.03.21	Académica Coimbra - Varzim	1:2 ✺
22.02.21	Feirense - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
13.02.21	Académica Coimbra - Cova De Piedade	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
31.10.20	Académica Coimbra - Oliveirense	3:0
28.12.19	Académica Coimbra - Oliveirense	4:3
20.01.19	Académica Coimbra - Oliveirense	1:0
11.08.18	Oliveirense - Académica Coimbra	1:1
Club Friendly
18.07.18	Oliveirense - Académica Coimbra	0:0
Portuguese Liga 2
31.03.18	Académica Coimbra - Oliveirense	0:2
01.11.17	Oliveirense - Académica Coimbra	0:2

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