Match Info

Date: 28 February 2021, Sunday


	Casa Pia		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4.5
	1.87	3.1	4.2
	1.9	2.85	4.5
	1.92	3.05	4.3
	1.95	3.17	4.83
	2	3.1	4
	1.88	3.32	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.91)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)	4.35 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casa Pia
48.6%

Draw
30.1%

Oliveirense
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

30.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

19.5%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casa Pia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oliveirense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Casa Pia - Oliveirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 14).

Casa Pia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Oliveirense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Casa Pia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Casa Pia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casa Pia
Portuguese Liga 2
20.02.21	Vizela - Casa Pia	3:1 ✺
14.02.21	Casa Pia - Feirense	0:1 ✺
07.02.21	Benfica B - Casa Pia	2:0 ✺
31.01.21	Casa Pia - Leixões	1:1 ✺
25.01.21	Casa Pia - Cova De Piedade	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTW
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
23.02.21	Oliveirense - Vilafranquense	2:2 ✺
14.02.21	Porto B - Oliveirense	1:2 ✺
30.01.21	Oliveirense - Vizela	0:3 ✺
22.01.21	Oliveirense - Varzim	1:1 ✺
17.01.21	Académico de Viseu - Oliveirense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.10.20	Oliveirense - Casa Pia	0:1
22.02.20	Oliveirense - Casa Pia	2:1
15.09.19	Casa Pia - Oliveirense	1:3

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