Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis)

Referee: Filipe L. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	Sport TV1


	Oliveirense		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.55
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.58	3.25	2.62
	2.64	3.39	2.75
	2.52	3.6	2.57	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.63
	2.55	3.33	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.68)	3.3 ↓ (3.48)	2.58 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
36.1%

Draw
28%

Felgueiras
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

26.8%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

26.6%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Oliveirense - Felgueiras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ribeiro R. (C) 4. Bura 75. Namora N. 19. Lopes A. 13. Santos V. 90. Brito T. 14. Pereira D. 26. Bastos L. 17. Lucas Henrique 9. Martelo P. 11. Joanderson	25. Felipe Scheibig (G) 4. Dudu Cruz 3. Pinto J. 33. Dario 17. Cruz F. 6. Martins H. 18. Gabi (C) 61. Eiro 79. Leite T. 19. Lucas Duarte 20. Berna
Substitutes
5. Filipe Alves 40. Greis N. (G) 23. Gustavao 7. Joao Adriano 54. Martins S. 3. Mateus Raniel 80. Onohara K. 88. Rodriguez Y. 21. Silva J.	45. Aidara M. 77. Beni 41. Mateus Pasinato (G) 5. Parente T. 7. Rivas M. 9. Santos Teixeira L. 34. Silva A.
Coaches
Silva R.	Ferreira R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 1 - 0, Lopes A. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Leite T. ⚽,
33', Bastos L. 🟨,
35', 1 - 2, Martins H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Lucas Henrique ↓, Silva J. ↑,
46', Ribeiro R. ↓, Greis N. ↑,
46', 1 - 3, Lucas Duarte ⚽,
65', Leite T. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
65', Lucas Duarte ↓, Santos Teixeira L. ↑,
72', Eiro ↓, Beni ↑,
74', Bura ↓, Mateus Raniel ↑,
74', Pereira D. ↓, Filipe Alves ↑,
77', Joanderson ↓, Martins S. ↑,
79', Dario ↓, Silva A. ↑,
79', Dudu Cruz ↓, Aidara M. ↑,
82', 1 - 4, Rivas M. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 5, Rivas M. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 14).

Oliveirense is Relegated to Liga 3

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Oliveirense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Oliveirense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Felgueiras	6	1	3	2	5:6	-1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Felgueiras - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.39%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
09.05.26	Feirense - Oliveirense	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Oliveirense - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
27.04.26	Chaves - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Oliveirense - Benfica B	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Leixões - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTLWL
- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
09.05.26	Felgueiras - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Porto B - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Felgueiras - Leiria	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Felgueiras	0:1 ✺
10.04.26	Felgueiras - Paços de Ferreira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.01.26	Felgueiras - Oliveirense	1:0
17.05.25	Felgueiras - Oliveirense	2:1
05.01.25	Oliveirense - Felgueiras	0:3
Portuguese Liga 3
18.02.22	Oliveirense - Felgueiras	2:1
27.11.21	Felgueiras - Oliveirense	2:1

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