Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 30

Date: 13 August 2023, Sunday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)


	Omiya Ardija		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.2
	3.05	3.25	2.25
	3.09	3.37	2.42
	2.9	3	2.25
	3.04	3.25	2.38	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.05)	3.22 ↓ (3.3)	2.32 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
31.3%

Draw
28.8%

Fagiano Okayama
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

29.1%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

29.5%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Omiya Ardija - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Omiya will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Okayama will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kasahara T. (G) 4. Mafaldo 17. Shinzato R. 43. Ichihara R. 41. Iida T. 32. Takayanagi F. 7. Kojima M. 22. Motegi R. 9. Nakano S. 11. Kurokawa A. 10. Swierczok J.	1. Hotta D. (G) 15. Motoyama H. 5. Yanagi Y. 43. Suzuki Y. 16. Kawano R. 6. Wakasa Y. 42. Takahashi R. 14. Tanaka Y. 41. Tabei R. 99. Lucao 8. Mauk S.
Substitutes
39. Izumisawa J. 8. Kurimoto H. 35. Minami Y. (G) 33. Muroi K. 3. Okaniwa S. 34. Omori R. 19. Rodrigo	7. Alves T. 23. Buijs J. 27. Kawai Y. 19. Kimura T. 48. Sakamoto I. 17. Sueyoshi R. 21. Yamada T. (G)
Coaches
Harasaki M.	Kiyama T.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Omiya won 0.

Recent matches Omiya is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Okayama is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Okayama could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Omiya won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Omiya won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
06.08.23	Omiya Ardija - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
30.07.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
23.07.23	Mito HollyHock - Omiya Ardija	0:0 ✺
16.07.23	Omiya Ardija - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Cerezo Osaka - Omiya Ardija	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWTTL
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
05.08.23	Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia	1:3 ✺
29.07.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama	1:0 ✺
24.07.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
16.07.23	Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
13.05.23	Fagiano Okayama - Omiya Ardija	1:1
06.07.22	Fagiano Okayama - Omiya Ardija	4:2
26.03.22	Omiya Ardija - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
21.08.21	Fagiano Okayama - Omiya Ardija	1:0
16.05.21	Omiya Ardija - Fagiano Okayama	0:0
18.10.20	Fagiano Okayama - Omiya Ardija	3:2
05.09.20	Omiya Ardija - Fagiano Okayama	1:1

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