Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 28

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Omiya Ardija		Giravanz Kitakyushu

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.77	3.35	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.4	4.38
	1.82	3.45	4.46	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.4
	1.77	3.34	4.32	Watch
	1.74	3.4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.57)	3.36 ↓ (3.59)	4.29 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
51.6%

Draw
27.2%

Giravanz Kitakyushu
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

25.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.6%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omiya Ardija's form might have worsened.

Giravanz Kitakyushu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omiya Ardija, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Omiya Ardija - Giravanz Kitakyushu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kasahara T. (G) 34. Murakami Y. 4. Ichihara R. 5. Urakami N. 22. Motegi R. 30. Arthur Silva 7. Kojima M. 14. Izumi T. 6. Ishikawa T. 23. Sugimoto K. 90. Sunday O.	27. Tanaka Y. (G) 23. Sakamoto K. 50. Sugiyama K. 13. Kudo K. 33. Inui T. 34. Takayoshi S. 14. Izawa H. 17. Okano R. 20. Yada A. 21. Ushinohama T. 10. Nagai R.
Substitutes
20. Chinen T. 9. Gonzalez F. 17. Nakano K. 49. Osawa T. 37. Sekiguchi K. 40. Shimura K. (G) 33. Wada T.	4. Hasegawa K. 1. Ito G. (G) 11. Kiyama K. 15. Kobayashi R. 29. Koh S. 16. Omori S. 22. Yamawaki K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Sakamoto K. ↓, Yamawaki K. ↑,
43', 1 - 0, Izumi T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Yada A. ↓, Koh S. ↑,
68', Sugimoto K. ↓, Wada T. ↑,
74', Izawa H. ↓, Kiyama K. ↑,
74', Okano R. ↓, Omori S. ↑,
75', Izumi T. ↓, Sekiguchi K. ↑,
75', Ishikawa T. ↓, Osawa T. ↑,
76', Kojima M. 🟨,
81', Sunday O. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Ichihara R. ⚽, Kojima M. (A),
86', Nagai R. ↓, Hasegawa K. ↑,
86', Ushinohama T. ↓, Kobayashi R. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Sekiguchi K. ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
90+4', Arthur Silva ↓, Nakano K. ↑,
90+4', Motegi R. ↓, Chinen T. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J3 League
11.09.24	Nagano Parceiro - Omiya Ardija	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Omiya Ardija	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Omiya Ardija - YSCC	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	Omiya Ardija - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Omiya Ardija	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWWW
- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J3 League
07.09.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Imabari	0:3 ✺
31.08.24	Fukushima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Nara Club - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kataller Toyama	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Ryūkyū - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
31.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Omiya Ardija	1:1
Japan J2 League
23.10.21	Omiya Ardija - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:1
23.05.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Omiya Ardija	3:1
04.11.20	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Omiya Ardija	1:2
19.08.20	Omiya Ardija - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:4
01.08.15	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Omiya Ardija	1:2
06.05.15	Omiya Ardija - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:0

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