Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 42

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Omiya Ardija		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.5	Watch
	5.5	4.1	1.44
	6	4.33	1.47	Watch
	6.32	4.63	1.5
	6.32	4.63	1.51
	6	4.2	1.4
	6.35	4.45	1.47	Watch
	6	4.3	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.12 ↑ (4.53)	4.36 ↑ (3.98)	1.47 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
15.2%

Draw
21.4%

Tokyo Verdy
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

23.6%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

23%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omiya Ardija's form might have worsened.

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokyo Verdy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omiya Ardija, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Omiya Ardija - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Minami Y. (G) 3. Okaniwa S. 4. Mafaldo 43. Ichihara R. 22. Motegi R. 11. Kurokawa A. 32. Takayanagi F. 7. Kojima M. 49. Osawa T. 28. Tomiyama T. 9. Nakano S.	1. Vidotto M. (G) 6. Miyahara K. 13. Hayashi N. 3. Taniguchi H. 16. Yamakoshi K. 47. Nakahara H. 25. Inami T. 7. Morita K. 26. Kato R. 39. Someno I. 8. Saito K.
Substitutes
16. Ishikawa T. 39. Izumisawa J. 33. Muroi K. 15. Oyama K. 40. Shimura K. (G) 5. Urakami N. 23. Yajima K.	4. Kajikawa R. 29. Kawamura K. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 24. Narawa Y. 5. Taira T. 23. Tsunashima Y. 27. Yamada G.
Coaches
Harasaki M.	Jofuku H.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Omiya is Relegated to J3 League

Last 5 head-to-head matches Omiya won 1.

Recent matches Omiya is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tokyo Verdy is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Omiya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tokyo Verdy is certain favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Omiya won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Omiya won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
04.11.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Omiya Ardija	4:0 ✺
29.10.23	Omiya Ardija - Ventforet Kofu	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Fujieda MYFC - Omiya Ardija	2:3 ✺
07.10.23	Omiya Ardija - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Oita Trinita - Omiya Ardija	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLWWW
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
05.11.23	Tokyo Verdy - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo Verdy	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Tokyo Verdy - JEF United Chiba	3:2 ✺
07.10.23	Tokyo Verdy - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
01.04.23	Tokyo Verdy - Omiya Ardija	1:0
10.07.22	Omiya Ardija - Tokyo Verdy	2:2
28.05.22	Tokyo Verdy - Omiya Ardija	1:1
05.09.21	Omiya Ardija - Tokyo Verdy	2:1
02.05.21	Tokyo Verdy - Omiya Ardija	1:1
03.10.20	Tokyo Verdy - Omiya Ardija	3:1
11.07.20	Omiya Ardija - Tokyo Verdy	1:0

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