The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Omiya Ardija 26.7%
Draw 28.6%
Tokyo 44.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
29.5%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
29.6%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omiya Ardija's form might have worsened.
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokyo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omiya Ardija, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokyo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
0%
85.7%
Omiya Ardija - Tokyo Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Omiya will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tokyo will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tokyo will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Kato Y. (G) 5. Urakami N. 15. Nakayama K. 16. Yasumitsu S. 37. Sekiguchi K. 33. Wada T. 31. Abe R. 41. Yachida T. 17. Nakano K. 29. Caprini 28. Tomiyama T.
13. Hatano G. (G) 4. Kimoto Y. 47. Kimura S. 44. Henrique Trevisan 5. Nagatomo Y. 10. Higashi K. 37. Koizumi K. 7. Anzai S. 98. Everton Galdino 53. Kitahara M. 19. Marcelo Ryan
Substitutes
42. Fujii K. 55. Gabriel 7. Kojima M. 22. Motegi R. 32. Sakai S. 20. Shimoguchi W. 40. Shimura K. (G) 23. Sugimoto K. 90. Sunday O.
32. Doi K. 18. Hashimoto K. 8. Ko T. 39. Nakagawa T. 41. Nozawa T. (G) 30. Oka T. 16. Sato K. 99. Shirai K. 33. Tawaratsumida K.
Coaches
Nagasawa T.
Matsuhashi R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Nagatomo Y. 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Marcelo Ryan ⚽,
63', Abe R. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
63', Nakano K. ↓, Sugimoto K. ↑,
65', Caprini ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
65', Tomiyama T. ↓, Sunday O. ↑,
68', Nagatomo Y. ↓, Shirai K. ↑,
68', Higashi K. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
68', Everton Galdino ↓, Sato K. ↑,
77', Kimura S. ↓, Oka T. ↑,
77', Wada T. ↓, Kojima M. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Sugimoto K. ⚽,
90+2', Koizumi K. ↓, Ko T. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 2)
98', 1 - 2, Marcelo Ryan ⚽,
105+1', 1 - 3, Marcelo Ryan ⚽,
106', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
110', Kimoto Y. 🟨,
112', Nakayama K. ↓, Motegi R. ↑,
113', Kitahara M. ↓, Doi K. ↑,
119', Hatano G. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Omiya won 1.
Omiya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Tokyo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Tokyo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Omiya won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10:15 (average 0.9:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Omiya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.8:1.8).