Match Info

Date: 10 July 2021, Saturday


	Operário Ferroviario		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.1	5
	1.73	3.15	4.7	Watch
	1.7	3.15	5.4
	1.76	3.28	6.14
	1.7	3	5.8
	1.76	3.22	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.71)	3.15 ↓ (3.29)	5.43 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
53.6%

Draw
29.4%

Brasil de Pelotas
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

28.3%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

17.8%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Operário Ferroviario that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasil de Pelotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Operário Ferroviario - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C).

Operário Ferroviario is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Brasil de Pelotas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brasil de Pelotas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Operário Ferroviario is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Operário Ferroviario won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Operário Ferroviario won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
06.07.21	Operário Ferroviario - Londrina	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
02.07.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Operário Ferroviario	5:0 ✺
28.06.21	Operário Ferroviario - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
25.06.21	Operário Ferroviario - Confiança	0:0 ✺
22.06.21	Ponte Preta - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLTT
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie B
03.07.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
30.06.21	Brusque - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
25.06.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
22.06.21	CRB Maceio - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
18.06.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Goiás	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
30.11.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Operário Ferroviario	0:0
30.08.20	Operário Ferroviario - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1
05.10.19	Operário Ferroviario - Brasil de Pelotas	1:2
08.06.19	Brasil de Pelotas - Operário Ferroviario	1:0

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