Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSPORTS+ Plus
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, Dsports 1311, DSPORTS+ Plus
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter


	Operário Ferroviario		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.1	1.86
	4.15	3.05	1.92
	4.55	3.2	2.02
	4.33	3.15	1.94
	4	3	1.95
	4.2	3.22	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↓ (5.09)	3.12 ↓ (3.72)	1.93 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
21.8%

Draw
29.9%

Fluminense
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

24.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

22.4%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Operário Ferroviario - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Vagner (G) 2. Mikael Doka 22. Cuenu J. 16. Miranda 6. Moraes 20. Vinicius Diniz 5. Indio 14. Pereira H. 10. Boschilia (C) 11. Aylon 99. Caio Dantas	1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier (C) 4. Ignacio 29. Millan J. 6. Rene 35. Hercules 8. Martinelli 17. Canobbio A. 25. Alisson 90. Serna K. 9. John Kennedy
Substitutes
4. Andre 1. Elias Curzel (G) 7. Felipe Augusto 27. Gabriel Feliciano 44. Klaus 26. Maguinho 39. Matheus Trindade 88. Neto Paraiba 92. Pablo 30. Pedro Vilhena 18. Pool J. 29. Torres E.	19. Castillo R. 22. Freytes J. 23. Guga 13. Guilherme Arana 21. Igor Rabello 3. Jemmes 46. Julio Fidelis 94. Otavio 10. PH Ganso 28. Riquelme Felipe 98. Vitor Eudes (G) 34. Wesley Nata
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes	Zubeldia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Martinelli ↓, Otavio ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Otavio 🟨,
49', Boschilia 🟨,
56', Caio Dantas ↓, Pablo ↑,
56', Aylon ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
68', Hercules ↓, Guilherme Arana ↑,
68', Serna K. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
73', Pereira H. 🟨,
73', Indio ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
74', Pereira H. ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
83', Pablo 🟨,
90', Mikael Doka ↓, Maguinho ↑,
90+4', Castillo R. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Fluminense is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Fluminense - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.37%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
18.04.26	Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Cianorte - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
05.04.26	Avaí - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTTT
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.26	Santos - Fluminense	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.04.26	Fluminense - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Fluminense - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.04.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.04.26	Coritiba - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLTT

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